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致我们疯狂:刚地弓形虫与自杀未遂和交通事故的关联——系统评价和荟萃分析。

Driving us mad: the association of Toxoplasma gondii with suicide attempts and traffic accidents - a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Psychiatry,Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam,Meibergdreef 5 1105 AZ, Amsterdam,The Netherlands.

Department of Parasitology,Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam,Meibergdreef 9 1105 AZ, Amsterdam,The Netherlands.

出版信息

Psychol Med. 2019 Jul;49(10):1608-1623. doi: 10.1017/S0033291719000813. Epub 2019 Apr 23.

Abstract

Unnatural causes of death due to traffic accidents (TA) and suicide attempts (SA) constitute a major burden on global health, which remained stable in the last decade despite widespread efforts of prevention. Recently, latent infection with Toxoplasma gondii (T. gondii) has been suggested to be a biological risk factor for both TA and SA. Therefore, a systematic search concerning the relationship of T. gondii infection with TA and/or SA according to PRISMA guidelines in Medline, Pubmed and PsychInfo was conducted collecting papers up to 11 February 2019 (PROSPERO #CRD42018090206). The random-effect model was applied and sensitivity analyses were subsequently performed. Lastly, the population attributable fraction (PAF) was calculated. We found a significant association for antibodies against T. gondii with TA [odds ratio (OR) = 1.69; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-2.38, p = 0.003] and SA (OR = 1.39; 95% CI 1.10-1.76, p = 0006). Indication of publication bias was found for TA, but statistical adjustment for this bias did not change the OR. Heterogeneity between studies on SA was partly explained by type of control population used (ORhealthy controls = 1.9, p < 0.001 v. ORpsychiatric controls = 1.06, p = 0.87) and whether subjects with schizophrenia only were analysed (ORschizophrenia = 0.87, p = 0.62 v. ORvarious = 1.8, p < 0.001). The association was significantly stronger with higher antibody titres in TA and in studies that did not focus on schizophrenia subjects concerning SA. PAF of a T. gondii infection was 17% for TA and 10% for SA. This indicates that preventing T. gondii infection may play a role in the prevention of TA or SA, although uncertainty remains whether infection and outcome are truly causally related.

摘要

由于交通事故(TA)和自杀未遂(SA)导致的非自然死亡是全球健康的主要负担,尽管广泛开展了预防工作,但在过去十年中,这一负担保持稳定。最近,有人提出,潜伏性感染刚地弓形虫(Toxoplasma gondii,T. gondii)可能是 TA 和 SA 的生物学风险因素。因此,我们根据 PRISMA 指南,在 Medline、Pubmed 和 PsychInfo 中进行了系统检索,收集截至 2019 年 2 月 11 日的关于 T. gondii 感染与 TA 和/或 SA 关系的论文(PROSPERO #CRD42018090206)。应用随机效应模型,并随后进行敏感性分析。最后,计算人群归因分数(PAF)。我们发现,针对 T. gondii 的抗体与 TA [比值比(OR)=1.69;95%置信区间(CI)1.20-2.38,p=0.003]和 SA [OR=1.39;95%CI 1.10-1.76,p=0.0006]显著相关。TA 存在发表偏倚的迹象,但对此偏倚进行统计调整并未改变 OR。SA 研究之间的异质性部分可通过所使用的对照人群类型来解释(健康对照人群的 OR=1.9,p < 0.001,v. 精神病对照人群的 OR=1.06,p=0.87)以及是否仅分析精神分裂症患者(ORschizophrenia=0.87,p=0.62,v. ORvarious=1.8,p < 0.001)。在 TA 中,抗体滴度较高时,以及在 SA 研究中不关注精神分裂症患者时,关联更显著。T. gondii 感染的 PAF 为 TA 时 17%,SA 时 10%。这表明,预防 T. gondii 感染可能在预防 TA 或 SA 中发挥作用,尽管感染和结局之间是否存在真正的因果关系仍存在不确定性。

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