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基于不同匝道影响区域识别高速公路路段的碰撞特征。

Identifying the crash characteristics on freeway segments based on different ramp influence areas.

机构信息

a Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS , Southeast University , Jiangsu , China.

b California PATH , University of California at Berkeley , Berkeley , California.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2019;20(4):386-391. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2019.1588965. Epub 2019 Apr 25.

Abstract

This study aimed to explore the relationship between crash types and different freeway segments and identify the factors contributing to crashes on different freeway segments. Unlike most of the previous studies on freeway segments, this study separately investigates basic freeway segments, single ramp influence segments, and multiple ramp influence segments. Nonlinear canonical correlation analysis (NLCCA) and proportionality test were used to identify the relationship between crash types and different freeway segments. The data sets for the different freeway segments accumulated for this study consist of 9,867 crash samples with complete information on all 22 chosen variables. A multinomial logit model (MNL) was used to estimate the influence of crash factors on different freeway segments. The results show that weaving and diverge overlap influence segments (WD) are more likely to have injury or fatal crashes; diverge and diverge overlap influence segments (DD) are more likely to have property damage-only (PDO) crashes; merge and merge overlap influence segments (MM) are more likely to have sideswipe crashes; and WD have non-sideswipe crashes; WD and weaving overlap influence segments (MW) are more likely to have rear end crashes; and MM segments are less likely to have hit object crashes. The contributing factors are identified by MNL and the results show that different traffic variables, environmental variables, vehicle variables, driver variables, and geometric variables significantly affected the likelihood of crashes on different freeway segments. Investigation of crash types and factors contributing to crashes on different freeway segments is based on multiple ramp influence segments, which can promote a better understanding of the safety performance of various freeway segments.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨事故类型与不同高速公路路段之间的关系,并确定导致不同高速公路路段发生事故的因素。与之前大多数关于高速公路路段的研究不同,本研究分别研究了基本高速公路路段、单匝道影响路段和多匝道影响路段。非线性典型相关分析(NLCCA)和比例性检验用于识别事故类型与不同高速公路路段之间的关系。本研究积累的不同高速公路路段数据集包含 9867 个具有所有 22 个选定变量完整信息的事故样本。多项逻辑回归模型(MNL)用于估计事故因素对不同高速公路路段的影响。结果表明,交织和分流重叠影响路段(WD)更有可能发生伤害或致命事故;分流和分流重叠影响路段(DD)更有可能发生仅财产损失(PDO)事故;合流和合流重叠影响路段(MM)更有可能发生侧面碰撞事故;WD 发生非侧面碰撞事故;WD 和交织重叠影响路段(MW)更有可能发生追尾事故;MM 路段发生碰撞物体事故的可能性较小。MNL 确定了促成因素,结果表明,不同的交通变量、环境变量、车辆变量、驾驶员变量和几何变量显著影响了不同高速公路路段发生事故的可能性。对不同高速公路路段的事故类型和导致事故的因素的调查基于多匝道影响路段,可以更好地了解各种高速公路路段的安全性能。

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