Periovulatory 17 beta-estradiol pattern in conceptional and nonconceptional cycles during menotropin treatment of anovulatory infertility.

The value of multiple parameters in the prediction of fertile cycles was prospectively evaluated in 52 menotropin-induced cycles. The periovulatory pattern of estradiol (E2) was found to correlate with conceptional cycles. E2 levels greater than 500 pg/ml on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin administration (day 0) with a further increase on day +1 (high ascending pattern--A1) were found to have a 51% predictive value for fertile cycles. Twelve of the 17 fertile cycles had an A1, type of response (71%), whereas the overall incidence of an A1 pattern was 42% (22 of 52). No pregnancies have occurred with preovulatory follicles less than or equal to 14 mm in diameter. The number of preovulatory follicles, E2 level on day 0, and midluteal progesterone had no predictive value for fertile cycles.