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复杂混合物,复杂分析:强调可解释的结果。

Complex Mixtures, Complex Analyses: an Emphasis on Interpretable Results.

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, 722 West 168th Street, New York, NY, 10032, USA.

Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.

出版信息

Curr Environ Health Rep. 2019 Jun;6(2):53-61. doi: 10.1007/s40572-019-00229-5.

Abstract

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The purpose of this review is to outline the main questions in environmental mixtures research and provide a non-technical explanation of novel or advanced methods to answer these questions.

RECENT FINDINGS

Machine learning techniques are now being incorporated into environmental mixture research to overcome issues with traditional methods. Though some methods perform well on specific tasks, no method consistently outperforms all others in complex mixture analyses, largely because different methods were developed to answer different research questions. We discuss four main questions in environmental mixtures research: (1) Are there specific exposure patterns in the study population? (2) Which are the toxic agents in the mixture? (3) Are mixture members acting synergistically? And, (4) what is the overall effect of the mixture? We emphasize the importance of robust methods and interpretable results over predictive accuracy. We encourage collaboration with computer scientists, data scientists, and biostatisticians in future mixture method development.

摘要

综述目的

本文旨在概述环境混合物研究中的主要问题,并对回答这些问题的新方法或先进方法进行非技术性解释。

最近的发现

机器学习技术现已应用于环境混合物研究,以克服传统方法存在的问题。虽然某些方法在特定任务上表现良好,但在复杂混合物分析中,没有一种方法始终优于所有其他方法,这主要是因为不同的方法是为了回答不同的研究问题而开发的。我们讨论了环境混合物研究中的四个主要问题:(1)在研究人群中是否存在特定的暴露模式?(2)混合物中的有毒物质有哪些?(3)混合物成员是否协同作用?以及,(4)混合物的整体影响是什么?我们强调稳健方法和可解释结果的重要性,而不是预测准确性。我们鼓励在未来的混合物方法开发中与计算机科学家、数据科学家和生物统计学家合作。

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