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可再生能源技术创新对气候变化的作用:来自中国的实证证据。

The role of renewable energy technological innovation on climate change: Empirical evidence from China.

作者信息

Lin Boqiang, Zhu Junpeng

机构信息

School of Management, China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy, Collaborative Innovation Center for Energy Economics and Energy Policy, Xiamen University, Fujian 361005, PR China.

School of Management, China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy, Collaborative Innovation Center for Energy Economics and Energy Policy, Xiamen University, Fujian 361005, PR China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2019 Apr 1;659:1505-1512. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.449. Epub 2019 Jan 2.

Abstract

To develop renewable energy as well as promote China's transition to a low-carbon economy, the government needs to pay attention to renewable energy technological innovation (RETI). Using China's provincial panel data from 2000 to 2015, and regarding the CO emissions as the proxy of climate change, this paper identifies the relationship between RETI and CO emissions as well as seeks to confirm the role of RETI on climate change. The linear regression model confirms that the RETI has a significant negative effect on CO emissions. In addition, considering the disparities of energy structure, the impacts of RETI on CO emissions may be distinct. We, therefore, construct a panel threshold model by taking into account the distinct effect of RETI under different energy structure. We find that the effect of RETI on curbing CO emissions decreases with the rising of coal-dominated energy consumption structure but in contrast, this effect increases with the growing proportion of renewable energy generation. This paper provides new insight into the relationship between technological innovation and climate change. Based on these findings, some relevant policy recommendations are proposed.

摘要

为了发展可再生能源并推动中国向低碳经济转型,政府需要关注可再生能源技术创新(RETI)。本文利用中国2000年至2015年的省级面板数据,并将二氧化碳排放作为气候变化的代理变量,确定了可再生能源技术创新与二氧化碳排放之间的关系,并试图证实可再生能源技术创新在气候变化中的作用。线性回归模型证实,可再生能源技术创新对二氧化碳排放有显著的负面影响。此外,考虑到能源结构的差异,可再生能源技术创新对二氧化碳排放的影响可能会有所不同。因此,我们通过考虑不同能源结构下可再生能源技术创新的不同影响,构建了一个面板门槛模型。我们发现,随着以煤炭为主的能源消费结构的上升,可再生能源技术创新对抑制二氧化碳排放的效果会降低,但相反,随着可再生能源发电量比例的增加,这种效果会增强。本文为技术创新与气候变化之间的关系提供了新的见解。基于这些发现,提出了一些相关的政策建议。

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