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序贯性器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分对心脏重症监护病房患者死亡率的预测价值。

Predictive value of individual Sequential Organ Failure Assessment sub-scores for mortality in the cardiac intensive care unit.

机构信息

Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, United States of America.

Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2019 May 20;14(5):e0216177. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0216177. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To determine the impact of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) organ sub-scores for hospital mortality risk stratification in a contemporary cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adult CICU admissions between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2015 were reviewed. The SOFA score and organ sub-scores were calculated on CICU day 1; patients with missing SOFA sub-score data were excluded. Discrimination for hospital mortality was assessed using area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUROC) values, followed by multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

We included 1214 patients with complete SOFA sub-score data. The mean age was 67 ± 16 years (38% female); all-cause hospital mortality was 26%. Day 1 SOFA score predicted hospital mortality with an AUROC of 0.72. Each SOFA organ sub-score predicted hospital mortality (all p <0.01), with AUROC values of 0.53 to 0.67. On multivariable analysis, only the cardiovascular, central nervous system, renal and respiratory SOFA sub-scores were associated with hospital mortality (all p <0.01). A simplified SOFA score containing the cardiovascular, central nervous system and renal sub-scores had an AUROC of 0.72.

CONCLUSIONS

In CICU patients with complete SOFA sub-score data, risk stratification for hospital mortality is determined primarily by the cardiovascular, central nervous system, renal and respiratory SOFA sub-scores.

摘要

目的

确定序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)器官亚评分对当代心脏重症监护病房(CICU)人群的医院死亡率风险分层的影响。

材料和方法

回顾 2007 年 1 月 1 日至 2015 年 12 月 31 日期间成年 CICU 入院患者。在 CICU 第 1 天计算 SOFA 评分和器官亚评分;排除 SOFA 亚评分数据缺失的患者。使用受试者工作特征曲线(AUROC)值评估医院死亡率的判别能力,然后进行多变量逻辑回归。

结果

我们纳入了 1214 例具有完整 SOFA 亚评分数据的患者。患者的平均年龄为 67 ± 16 岁(38%为女性);全因医院死亡率为 26%。第 1 天 SOFA 评分预测医院死亡率的 AUROC 为 0.72。每个 SOFA 器官亚评分均预测医院死亡率(均 p<0.01),AUROC 值为 0.53 至 0.67。多变量分析显示,仅心血管、中枢神经系统、肾脏和呼吸系统的 SOFA 亚评分与医院死亡率相关(均 p<0.01)。包含心血管、中枢神经系统和肾脏亚评分的简化 SOFA 评分 AUROC 为 0.72。

结论

在具有完整 SOFA 亚评分数据的 CICU 患者中,医院死亡率的风险分层主要由心血管、中枢神经系统、肾脏和呼吸系统的 SOFA 亚评分决定。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/589f/6527229/5d6e072264d6/pone.0216177.g001.jpg

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