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1970 - 1980年丹麦的失业与死亡率

Unemployment and mortality in Denmark, 1970-80.

作者信息

Iversen L, Andersen O, Andersen P K, Christoffersen K, Keiding N

机构信息

Institute of Social Medicine, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.

出版信息

Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1987 Oct 10;295(6603):879-84. doi: 10.1136/bmj.295.6603.879.

Abstract

Relative mortality in the period 1970-80 was studied among Danish men and women who were unemployed and employed on the day of the 1970 census. The study population consisted of the total labour force in the age range 20-64 on 9 November 1970--that is, about 2 million employed and 22,000 unemployed people. Relative mortality was analysed by a multiplicative hazard regression model (as a natural extension of the standardised mortality ratio) and a multiplicative regression model with extra-Poisson variation. A significantly increased death rate (40-50%) was found among the unemployed after adjusting for occupation, housing category, geographical region, and marital state. Analysis of five main causes of death showed increased mortality from all causes, but especially from suicide or accidents. In areas where the local unemployment rate was comparatively high the relative mortality among the unemployed was lower. The increased mortality among the unemployed was interpreted as a consequence of health related selection as well as increased susceptibility associated with the psychosocial stress of unemployment.

摘要

对1970年人口普查当日丹麦失业和就业的男性及女性在1970 - 1980年期间的相对死亡率进行了研究。研究人群包括1970年11月9日年龄在20 - 64岁之间的全部劳动力——即约200万就业人员和2.2万失业人员。采用乘性风险回归模型(作为标准化死亡率的自然扩展)和具有超泊松变异的乘性回归模型分析相对死亡率。在对职业、住房类别、地理区域和婚姻状况进行调整后,发现失业者的死亡率显著增加(40 - 50%)。对五种主要死因的分析表明,所有原因导致的死亡率都有所上升,尤其是自杀或意外事故。在当地失业率相对较高的地区,失业者的相对死亡率较低。失业者死亡率的增加被解释为与健康相关的选择以及与失业的心理社会压力相关的易感性增加的结果。

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