Holbrook Neil J, Scannell Hillary A, Sen Gupta Alexander, Benthuysen Jessica A, Feng Ming, Oliver Eric C J, Alexander Lisa V, Burrows Michael T, Donat Markus G, Hobday Alistair J, Moore Pippa J, Perkins-Kirkpatrick Sarah E, Smale Dan A, Straub Sandra C, Wernberg Thomas
Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, 7001, Tasmania, Australia.
Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of Tasmania, Hobart, 7001, Tasmania, Australia.
Nat Commun. 2019 Jun 14;10(1):2624. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10206-z.
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) can cause devastating impacts to marine life. Despite the serious consequences of MHWs, our understanding of their drivers is largely based on isolated case studies rather than any systematic unifying assessment. Here we provide the first global assessment under a consistent framework by combining a confidence assessment of the historical refereed literature from 1950 to February 2016, together with the analysis of MHWs determined from daily satellite sea surface temperatures from 1982-2016, to identify the important local processes, large-scale climate modes and teleconnections that are associated with MHWs regionally. Clear patterns emerge, including coherent relationships between enhanced or suppressed MHW occurrences with the dominant climate modes across most regions of the globe - an important exception being western boundary current regions where reports of MHW events are few and ocean-climate relationships are complex. These results provide a global baseline for future MHW process and prediction studies.
海洋热浪(MHWs)会对海洋生物造成毁灭性影响。尽管海洋热浪会带来严重后果,但我们对其驱动因素的了解很大程度上基于孤立的案例研究,而非任何系统性的统一评估。在此,我们通过将1950年至2016年2月历史参考文献的可信度评估与1982 - 2016年每日卫星海表温度确定的海洋热浪分析相结合,在一个一致的框架下进行了首次全球评估,以确定与区域海洋热浪相关的重要局部过程、大尺度气候模式和遥相关。清晰的模式显现出来,包括全球大部分地区海洋热浪发生增强或受抑制与主导气候模式之间的连贯关系——一个重要的例外是西部边界流区域,那里海洋热浪事件的报告较少,海洋与气候的关系也很复杂。这些结果为未来海洋热浪过程和预测研究提供了全球基线。