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确定高成本医疗保险受益人:邻里社会经济劣势的影响。

Identifying High-Cost Medicare Beneficiaries: Impact of Neighborhood Socioeconomic Disadvantage.

机构信息

Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Baltimore, Maryland.

The Lewin Group, Falls Church, Virginia.

出版信息

Popul Health Manag. 2020 Feb;23(1):12-19. doi: 10.1089/pop.2019.0016. Epub 2019 Jun 17.

Abstract

The objective of this observational longitudinal study of Maryland fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries (2015-2016) was to investigate whether using data on neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage in addition to individual clinical risk data improves identification of high-cost Medicare beneficiaries. Neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage is measured using the Area Deprivation Index (ADI), a validated composite measure based on publically-available US census data (2011-2015) for Maryland census block groups. Hierarchical Condition Categories (HCC) score, health care utilization, and spending were obtained from Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Chronic Condition Warehouse beneficiary file and Part A and Part B claims data (2015). Total cost of care (TCOC) was calculated for 2016. Descriptive and multivariate analyses were performed to examine the relationship of residency in neighborhoods with high ADI and subsequent year health care spending. Among 615,637 Maryland Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries, those living in neighborhoods with the greatest disadvantage vs. the least disadvantage incur significantly greater costs in the subsequent year (ADI Quintile 5 $12,439 versus Quintile 1 $8920,  < .001). Clinical risk exacerbates this disparity. Among beneficiaries in the highest HCC score quintile, costs are 27% ($5458,  < .001) higher among beneficiaries in the highest compared with the lowest ADI quintiles without risk adjustment and 24% ($4599,  < .001) higher with risk adjustment. Several sensitivity analyses found the relationship between ADI and TCOC robust. Association between neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage and health care cost is most pronounced among the most clinically complex Maryland Medicare beneficiaries. Using ADI in combination with HCC score may facilitate more precise targeting of care management resources.

摘要

本项针对马里兰州按服务收费的医疗保险受益人的观察性纵向研究(2015-2016 年)的目的在于调查,在使用个体临床风险数据之外,加入社区社会经济劣势数据,是否能提高识别高成本医疗保险受益人的能力。社区社会经济劣势采用的是居住地区剥夺指数(ADI),该指数是基于马里兰州普查区的公开美国人口普查数据(2011-2015 年),经过验证的综合指标。分层条件类别(HCC)评分、医疗保健利用率和支出是从医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心慢性疾病仓库受益人人文件以及 A 部分和 B 部分索赔数据(2015 年)中获得的。2016 年计算了总护理成本(TCOC)。进行了描述性和多变量分析,以研究居住在 ADI 较高的社区与随后一年的医疗保健支出之间的关系。在马里兰州 615637 名医疗保险按服务收费的受益人中,与居住在劣势程度最小的社区的人相比,居住在劣势程度最大的社区的人在随后一年的花费明显更高(ADI 五分位 5 为 12439 美元,五分位 1 为 8920 美元,<0.001)。临床风险加剧了这种差异。在 HCC 评分最高的五分位组中的受益人中,在没有风险调整的情况下,与 ADI 五分位最低的受益人相比,在最高 ADI 五分位组中的受益人的费用高出 27%(5458 美元,<0.001),而在有风险调整的情况下,费用高出 24%(4599 美元,<0.001)。几项敏感性分析发现 ADI 与 TCOC 之间的关系是稳健的。在马里兰州医疗保险受益人中,临床最复杂的受益人中,社区社会经济劣势与医疗保健费用之间的关联最为显著。在结合 HCC 评分使用 ADI 的情况下,可能会更精确地确定医疗保健管理资源的目标。

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