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实时连续监测水体生物负荷的记录与评估

Charting and Evaluation of Real-Time Continuous Monitoring Water Bioburden.

作者信息

Bar Raphael

机构信息

BR Consulting, Ness Ziona, Israel 7403774.

出版信息

PDA J Pharm Sci Technol. 2019 Sep-Oct;73(5):496-509. doi: 10.5731/pdajpst.2018.009837. Epub 2019 Jun 17.

DOI:10.5731/pdajpst.2018.009837
PMID:31209167
Abstract

Bioburden data of municipal water, generated continuously with an online water burden analyzer sampling every two seconds (2 s), were subjected to a statistical analysis for the purpose of charting, evaluating the monitoring process behavior, and understanding when to take action and maintain the process under a state of control. The biocounts were recorded with a commercial analyzer that employs the intrinsic fluorescence of microorganisms as a result of laser excitation in order to generate a laser-induced fluorescence (LIF) signal. The real-time and continuous counting of optical signals leads to a stream of positively autocorrelated data. These high-frequency data, when plotted on Shewhart control charts, are difficult to interpret and exhibit a high rate of false alarm signals because of the autocorrelation. This paper analyzes an example set of data of water biocounts of one single day with the purpose of removing or minimizing the autocorrelation using model-based and model-free methods. This analysis can be equally applied to environmental monitoring of inert particles and microbes in the air in controlled rooms. The skip sampling and time series model methods were shown to remove the autocorrelation. The author favors the model-free method of "batch means control charts" whereby a "batch" or a number of successive data points is averaged and plotted on a standard Shewhart chart. The magnitude of this number depends on the knowledge of the given process and the purpose of the process control chart. Subsequently, the "batch means control charts" were made more meaningful and practical by setting limits that were determined under relaxed constraints. The ultimate outcome is converting high-frequency data to low-frequency data plotted onto standard control charts with practical limits and fewer false alarms, charts that reveal more clearly the underlying behavior and trends of the monitoring process. Bioburden data of municipal water, generated continuously with an online water analyzer sampling every 2 s, were subjected to a statistical analysis for the purpose of charting, evaluating the monitoring process behavior, and understanding when to take action and maintain the process under a state of control. This paper analyzes the data of biocounts of one single day with the purpose of removing or minimizing the autocorrelation using model-based and model-free methods. The skip sampling and time series model methods were shown to remove the autocorrelation. The author favors the model-free method of "batch means control charts" whereby a "batch" or a number of successive data points is averaged and plotted on a standard Shewhart chart. The magnitude of this number depends on the knowledge of the given process and the purpose of the process control chart. Subsequently, the "batch means control charts" were made more meaningful and practical by setting limits that were determined under relaxed constraints. The ultimate outcome is turning high-frequency data to low-frequency data plotted onto standard control charts with practical limits and fewer false alarms, charts that more easily reveal the trends of the monitoring process.

摘要

通过在线水负荷分析仪每两秒(2 s)连续采样生成的市政用水生物负荷数据,进行了统计分析,目的是绘制图表、评估监测过程行为,以及了解何时采取行动并使过程保持在受控状态。生物计数由一台商业分析仪记录,该分析仪利用微生物在激光激发下的固有荧光来产生激光诱导荧光(LIF)信号。光信号的实时连续计数产生了一系列正自相关数据。这些高频数据绘制在休哈特控制图上时,由于自相关难以解释且呈现出较高的误报信号率。本文分析了一天的水生物计数数据集示例,目的是使用基于模型和无模型的方法消除或最小化自相关。该分析同样可应用于受控房间内空气中惰性颗粒和微生物的环境监测。结果表明,跳点采样和时间序列模型方法可消除自相关。作者倾向于“批均值控制图”这种无模型方法,即对一个“批”或多个连续数据点求平均值,并绘制在标准休哈特图上。这个数字的大小取决于对给定过程的了解以及过程控制图的目的。随后,通过在宽松约束条件下确定的限值,使“批均值控制图”更具意义和实用性。最终结果是将高频数据转换为绘制在具有实际限值和较少误报的标准控制图上的低频数据,这些图表能更清晰地揭示监测过程的潜在行为和趋势。通过在线水分析仪每2 s连续采样生成的市政用水生物负荷数据,进行了统计分析,目的是绘制图表、评估监测过程行为,以及了解何时采取行动并使过程保持在受控状态。本文分析了一天的生物计数数据,目的是使用基于模型和无模型的方法消除或最小化自相关。结果表明,跳点采样和时间序列模型方法可消除自相关。作者倾向于“批均值控制图”这种无模型方法,即对一个“批”或多个连续数据点求平均值,并绘制在标准休哈特图上。这个数字的大小取决于对给定过程的了解以及过程控制图的目的。随后,通过在宽松约束条件下确定的限值,使“批均值控制图”更具意义和实用性。最终结果是将高频数据转换为绘制在具有实际限值和较少误报的标准控制图上的低频数据,这些图表更容易揭示监测过程的趋势。

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