National Epidemiology Center, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Health National School, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
PLoS One. 2019 Jun 27;14(6):e0218410. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0218410. eCollection 2019.
To analyze the mortality trend in Spain before, during and after the economic crisis and austerity policies in the working-age population.
From 2005 to 2016 we calculated the annual all-cause mortality rate and the annual mortality rate from the main causes of death in the population aged 15 to 64. We also estimated the linear trends in mortality rates during four time intervals-2005-2007 (before crisis), 2008-2010 (first part of the crisis), 2011-2013 (second part of the crisis and implementation of austerity policies) and 2014-2016 (after the crisis)- by the annual percentage change (APC).
The all-cause mortality rate in men and women showed the greatest decline in 2008-2010 and the smallest decline in 2014-2016. The decline in 2011-2013 was higher than in 2014-2016. The APCs in 2005-2007, 2008-2010, 2011-2013 and 2014-2016 were -2.8, -4.1, -3.0 and -1.5 in men and -1.0. -2.1, -1.1 and -0.6 in women, respectively, although the APC in 2014-2016 in women was not significant. In 2014-2016, cancer mortality showed the largest decrease, mortality from cardiovascular diseases (men), respiratory diseases and traffic accidents reversed and showed an upward trend, and the downward trend in mortality from infectious diseases and digestive diseases was equal to or greater than that observed before the crisis.
The decline in all-cause mortality in the working-age population during the economic crisis and the introduction of austerity measures was greater than that observed before and after the economic crisis. The slowing of the decline after the crisis was due to the reversal of the trend in mortality from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.
分析西班牙经济危机和紧缩政策期间及前后,工作年龄人群的死亡率趋势。
我们于 2005 年至 2016 年期间计算了 15 至 64 岁人群的全因死亡率和主要死因的年死亡率。我们还通过年百分比变化(APC)估计了死亡率在四个时间段的线性趋势:2005-2007 年(危机前)、2008-2010 年(危机第一阶段)、2011-2013 年(危机第二阶段和紧缩政策实施期间)和 2014-2016 年(危机后)。
男性和女性的全因死亡率在 2008-2010 年降幅最大,而在 2014-2016 年降幅最小。2011-2013 年的降幅高于 2014-2016 年。男性的 APCs 在 2005-2007 年、2008-2010 年、2011-2013 年和 2014-2016 年分别为-2.8、-4.1、-3.0 和-1.5,女性分别为-1.0、-2.1、-1.1 和-0.6,但女性在 2014-2016 年的 APC 并不显著。2014-2016 年,癌症死亡率降幅最大,心血管疾病(男性)、呼吸道疾病和交通事故的死亡率出现逆转并呈上升趋势,传染病和消化疾病的死亡率下降趋势与危机前相当或更大。
经济危机和紧缩政策期间,工作年龄人群的全因死亡率下降幅度大于经济危机前后。危机后死亡率下降速度放缓,原因是心血管和呼吸道疾病死亡率趋势逆转。