Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Exp Gerontol. 2019 Sep;124:110645. doi: 10.1016/j.exger.2019.110645. Epub 2019 Jun 25.
Cardiorespiratory fitness and physical performance measures predict mortality. It is uncertain whether pulse pressure (PP), a measure that is routinely available in healthcare settings, may also predict mortality with a comparable degree of accuracy. In a study consisting of older adults (709 men and 467 women) living in the community, we examined the relationship between PP, peak oxygen uptake (VO2 peak), 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) and 6-meter walking speed (6MWS) and seven year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to compare predictive performance. In the prediction of all-cause mortality, in men, 6MWD, 6MWS and PP all have comparable area under curve (AUC) values compared with VO2 peak: 0.736, 0.723, 0.736 and 0.734 respectively. Similar results were observed for women, although all the AUC values were slightly lower (corresponding values were 0.723, 0.713, 0.702 and 0.747 respectively). For cardiovascular mortality, the findings are similar although in men all AUC values were higher. We conclude that PP predicts 7 year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in older adults with an accuracy similar to VO2 peak, 6MWD and 6MWS, although the association is less strong in women.
心肺适能和身体表现测量可预测死亡率。目前尚不确定,在医疗保健环境中常规提供的脉压(PP)是否也可以以类似的准确度预测死亡率。在一项由社区居住的老年人(709 名男性和 467 名女性)组成的研究中,我们研究了 PP、峰值摄氧量(VO2 峰值)、6 分钟步行距离(6MWD)和 6 米步行速度(6MWS)与 7 年全因和心血管死亡率之间的关系。使用接收者操作特征(ROC)曲线比较预测性能。在全因死亡率的预测中,男性的 6MWD、6MWS 和 PP 的曲线下面积(AUC)值与 VO2 峰值相当:分别为 0.736、0.723、0.736 和 0.734。女性也观察到类似的结果,尽管所有 AUC 值略低(相应的值分别为 0.723、0.713、0.702 和 0.747)。对于心血管死亡率,结果相似,尽管男性的所有 AUC 值都较高。我们得出结论,PP 可预测老年人 7 年的全因和心血管死亡率,其准确性与 VO2 峰值、6MWD 和 6MWS 相当,尽管在女性中的相关性较弱。