Health Economics Unit, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Health Sciences Faculty, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Health Econ. 2019 Nov;28(11):1370-1376. doi: 10.1002/hec.3925. Epub 2019 Jul 2.
Seasonal variation exists in disease incidence. The variation could occur across the different regions in a country. This paper argues that using national household data that are not adjusted for seasonal and regional variations in disease incidence may not be directly suitable for assessing socio-economic inequality in annual outpatient service utilisation, including for cross-country comparison. In fact, annual health service utilisation may be understated or overstated depending on the period of data collection. This may lead to miss-estimation of socio-economic inequality in health service utilisation depending, among other things, on how health service utilisation, across geographical areas, varies by socio-economic status. Using a nationally representative dataset from South Africa, the paper applies a seasonality index that is constructed from the District Health Information System, an administrative dataset, to annualise public outpatient health service visits. Using the concentration index, socio-economic inequality in health service visits, after accounting for seasonal variations, was compared with that when seasonal variations are ignored. It was found that, in some cases, socio-economic inequality in outpatient health service visits depends on the socio-economic distribution of the seasonality index. This may justify the need to account for seasonal and geographical variations.
疾病发病率存在季节性变化。这种变化可能发生在一个国家的不同地区。本文认为,使用未经季节性和地区发病率调整的国家家庭数据,可能并不直接适用于评估年度门诊服务利用的社会经济不平等,包括跨国比较。事实上,根据数据收集的时间段,年度卫生服务利用可能被低估或高估。这可能导致卫生服务利用的社会经济不平等被错误估计,这取决于卫生服务利用在地理区域之间如何因社会经济地位而异等因素。本文使用来自南非的全国代表性数据集,应用一种季节性指数,该指数是根据地区卫生信息系统(一个行政数据集)构建的,用于将年度公共门诊卫生服务就诊次数进行年度化。使用集中指数,在考虑季节性变化后,比较了卫生服务就诊的社会经济不平等与忽略季节性变化时的不平等。结果发现,在某些情况下,门诊卫生服务就诊的社会经济不平等取决于季节性指数的社会经济分布。这可能证明需要考虑季节性和地理变化。