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急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统II(APACHE II)作为心脏直视手术后死亡率的预测指标。

The APACHE II Score as a Predictor of Mortality After Open Heart Surgery.

作者信息

Yalçın Mihriban, Gödekmerdan Eda, Tayfur Kaptanıderya, Yazman Serkan, Ürkmez Melih, Ata Yusuf

机构信息

Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Ordu State Hospital, Ordu, Turkey.

Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Bursa Yüksek İhtisas Training and Research Hospital, Bursa, Turkey.

出版信息

Turk J Anaesthesiol Reanim. 2019 Feb;47(1):41-47. doi: 10.5152/TJAR.2018.44365. Epub 2018 Sep 12.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) severity of disease classification system, which is one of the most widely used scoring systems to predict mortality, is used for intensive care units (ICU) patients. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive ability of APACHE II for mortality in patients after undergoing cardiac surgery. We studied if APACHE II could successfully predict the outcome in post-cardiac surgery patients.

METHODS

This study involved retrospective data collection of all adult patients who were admitted to Ordu State Hospital cardiovascular surgery ICU following cardiac surgery from August 2013 to December 2015. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) values were calculated for the APACHE II model.

RESULTS

During the two years of data collection, we included 600 patients with a mean age of 64.77±10.148 years. Of these, 180 (30.0%) were females. The ICU mortality rate was 8.33%, and the mean length of ICU stay was 4.210±6.913 days. The mean pre-operative EuroSCORE was 3.890±2.565, and the mean pre-operative APACHE II score was 6.790±3.617. The AUC values for APACHE II and EuroSCORE were 0.743 and 0.767, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The APACHE II model can be used to predict mortality in a Turkish population of patients who have undergone cardiac surgery.

摘要

目的

急性生理与慢性健康状况评价系统(APACHE)是预测死亡率最广泛使用的评分系统之一,用于重症监护病房(ICU)患者。本研究旨在评估APACHE II对心脏手术后患者死亡率的预测能力。我们研究了APACHE II能否成功预测心脏手术后患者的预后。

方法

本研究回顾性收集了2013年8月至2015年12月在奥尔杜州立医院心血管外科ICU接受心脏手术后入住的所有成年患者的数据。计算了APACHE II模型的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)值。

结果

在两年的数据收集期间,我们纳入了600例患者,平均年龄为64.77±10.148岁。其中,180例(30.0%)为女性。ICU死亡率为8.33%,ICU平均住院时间为4.210±6.913天。术前欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统(EuroSCORE)的平均值为3.890±2.565,术前APACHE II评分的平均值为6.790±3.617。APACHE II和EuroSCORE的AUC值分别为0.743和0.767。

结论

APACHE II模型可用于预测土耳其接受心脏手术患者群体的死亡率。

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