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VALID-CRT 风险评分能可靠地预测真实世界人群中心脏再同步治疗的反应和结局。

The VALID-CRT risk score reliably predicts response and outcome of cardiac resynchronization therapy in a real-world population.

机构信息

Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, and Vascular Sciences, University of Padova, Padua, Italy.

Department of Cardiology, Apuane Hospital, Massa, Italy.

出版信息

Clin Cardiol. 2019 Oct;42(10):919-924. doi: 10.1002/clc.23229. Epub 2019 Jul 13.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to confirm the value of the VALID-cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) risk score in predicting outcome and to assess its association with clinical response (CR) in an unselected real-world CRT population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The present analysis comprised all consecutive CRT patients (pts) enrolled in the CRT-MORE registry from 2011 to 2013. Pts were stratified into five groups (quintiles 1-5) according to the VALID-CRT risk predictor index applied to the CRT-MORE population. In the analysis of clinical outcome, adverse events comprised death from any cause and non-fatal heart failure (HF) events requiring hospitalization. CR at 12-month follow-up was also assessed. We enrolled 905 pts. During a median follow-up of 1005 [627-1361] days, 134 patients died, and 79 had at least one HF hospitalization. At 12 months, 69% of pts displayed an improvement in their CR. The mean VALID-CRT risk score derived from the CRT-MOdular Registry (MORE) population was 0.317, ranging from -0.419 in Q1 to 2.59 in Q5. The risk-stratification algorithm was able to predict total mortality after CRT (survival ranging from 93%-Q1 to 77%-Q5; hazards ratio [HR] = 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.25-1.61, P < .0001), and HF hospitalization (ranging from 95% to 90%; HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.06-1.45, P = .009). CR was significantly lower in pts with a high-to-very high risk profile (Q4-5) than in pts with a low-to-intermediate risk profile (Q1-2-3) (55% vs 79%, P < .0001).

CONCLUSION

The VALID-CRT risk-stratification algorithm reliably predicts outcome and CRT response after CRT in an unselected, real-world population.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在验证 VALID-心脏再同步治疗(CRT)风险评分在预测结局方面的价值,并评估其与未经选择的真实世界 CRT 人群临床反应(CR)的相关性。

方法和结果

本分析纳入了 2011 年至 2013 年 CRT-MORE 注册研究中所有连续的 CRT 患者(pts)。根据 VALID-CRT 风险预测指数在 CRT-MORE 人群中的应用,将 pts 分为五组(五分位数 1-5)。在临床结局分析中,不良事件包括任何原因导致的死亡和需要住院治疗的非致命性心力衰竭(HF)事件。还评估了 12 个月时的 CR。我们共纳入 905 例患者。在中位随访 1005[627-1361]天期间,有 134 例患者死亡,79 例至少发生了 1 次 HF 住院。在 12 个月时,69%的患者显示 CR 改善。从 CRT-MOdular Registry(MORE)人群中得出的平均 VALID-CRT 风险评分(0.317)范围从 Q1 的-0.419 到 Q5 的 2.59。风险分层算法能够预测 CRT 后的总死亡率(存活率从 Q1 的 93%到 Q5 的 77%;危险比[HR]为 1.42,95%置信区间[CI]:1.25-1.61,P<0.0001)和 HF 住院(从 95%到 90%;HR=1.24,95%CI:1.06-1.45,P=0.009)。高-极高风险组(Q4-5)的 CR 明显低于低-中风险组(Q1-2-3)(55% vs 79%,P<0.0001)。

结论

VALID-CRT 风险分层算法可在未经选择的真实世界人群中可靠地预测 CRT 后结局和 CRT 反应。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1fb3/6788573/4ba2824852ae/CLC-42-919-g001.jpg

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