Department of Public Health Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, US FDA, Silver Spring, MD, USA.
J Biopharm Stat. 2020 Mar;30(2):294-304. doi: 10.1080/10543406.2019.1636811. Epub 2019 Jul 15.
The traditional rule-based design, 3 + 3, has been shown to be less likely to achieve the objectives of dose-finding trials when compared with model-based designs. We propose a new rule-based design called i3 + 3, which is based on simple but more advanced rules that account for the variabilities in the observed data. We compare the operating characteristics for the proposed i3 + 3 design with other popular phase I designs by simulation. The i3 + 3 design is far superior than the 3 + 3 design in trial safety and the ability to identify the true MTD. Compared with model-based phase I designs, i3 + 3 also demonstrates comparable performances.
传统的基于规则的设计,3+3,已被证明在与基于模型的设计相比时不太可能实现剂量发现试验的目标。我们提出了一种新的基于规则的设计,称为 i3+3,它基于更简单但更先进的规则,这些规则考虑了观察数据中的变异性。我们通过模拟比较了拟议的 i3+3 设计与其他流行的 I 期设计的操作特性。i3+3 设计在试验安全性和识别真实 MTD 的能力方面远远优于 3+3 设计。与基于模型的 I 期设计相比,i3+3 也表现出相当的性能。