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MCTT HCE™ 眼刺激性试验重现性和预测能力的统计学分析,一种针对 OECD TG 492 的同类测试方法。

Statistical analysis of the reproducibility and predictive capacity of MCTT HCE™ eye irritation test, a me-too test method for OECD TG 492.

机构信息

College of Pharmacy, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, 03760, Republic of Korea.

Department of Statistics, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, 03760, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Regul Toxicol Pharmacol. 2019 Oct;107:104430. doi: 10.1016/j.yrtph.2019.104430. Epub 2019 Jul 17.

Abstract

We aimed to conduct additional statistical analysis of the reproducibility and predictive capacity of MCTT HCE™ eye irritation test (EIT), a me-too test method for OECD TG 492 with the data generated during the validation study in which 30 reference chemicals were tested in three repeated runs by three independent laboratories. We evaluated the within-laboratory reproducibility (WLR) and the between-laboratory reproducibility (BLR) through tabulation and graphs and presented the concordance of eye irritancy prediction with 95% Wilson's confidence intervals (CIs). Also, the analyses of the Intra-Class Correlation Coefficient (ICC) and Bland-Altman plot were applied to confirm the reproducibility and the comparability, referring to the validated methods of OECD TG 492. Kappa analysis was also performed to check the degree of agreement of the within- and between-laboratory reproducibility and agreement between MCTT HCE™ EIT and the reference methods. We calculated the predictive capacity via misprediction over total prediction method. The predictive capacity (sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy) was presented with 95% of Wilson's CIs. Also, bootstrap resampling was performed to express the 95% CI by the simple percentile methods for 30 chemicals and 141 reference chemicals additionally tested. Collectively, WLR (92.2%) and BLR (93.3%) met the criteria of the performance standards (WLR ≥ 90% and BLR ≥ 85%), and the results of ICC analysis and the Bland-Altman plot suggested an acceptable WLR and BLR and comparability to other validated methods of OECD TG 492. Also, the predictive capacity results for the 30 reference chemicals confirmed the good performance of the MCTT HCE™ EIT by satisfying the criteria of sensitivity, specificity, and the accuracy stated in the PS. The bootstrap resampling method showed a predictive capacity, sufficiently satisfying the criteria stated in the Performance Standards.

摘要

我们旨在对 MCTT HCE™眼刺激性试验(EIT)的重现性和预测能力进行额外的统计分析,这是一种与 OECD TG 492 等效的方法,其数据是在验证研究中生成的,该研究中 30 种参考化学品在三个独立实验室的三个重复运行中进行了测试。我们通过制表和图表评估了实验室内重现性(WLR)和实验室间重现性(BLR),并通过 95%Wilson 置信区间(CI)呈现了眼刺激性预测的一致性。此外,还应用了内-类相关系数(ICC)和 Bland-Altman 图分析来确认重现性和可比性,参考了 OECD TG 492 的验证方法。还进行了 Kappa 分析,以检查实验室内和实验室间重现性以及 MCTT HCE™EIT 与参考方法之间的一致性程度。我们通过总预测方法的误判来计算预测能力。预测能力(敏感性、特异性和准确性)以 95%Wilson CI 呈现。此外,还进行了自举重采样,以通过简单百分位数方法为另外测试的 30 种化学品和 141 种参考化学品表达 95%CI。总体而言,WLR(92.2%)和 BLR(93.3%)符合性能标准的标准(WLR≥90%和 BLR≥85%),ICC 分析和 Bland-Altman 图的结果表明存在可接受的 WLR 和 BLR 以及与 OECD TG 492 的其他验证方法的可比性。此外,30 种参考化学品的预测能力结果通过满足 PS 中规定的敏感性、特异性和准确性标准,证实了 MCTT HCE™EIT 的良好性能。自举重采样方法显示了足够满足性能标准中规定标准的预测能力。

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