Department of Health Sciences, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK.
European Centre for Environment and Human Health, University of Exeter Medical School, Knowledge Spa, Royal Cornwall Hospital, Truro, Cornwall, TR1 3HD, UK.
Public Health. 2019 Sep;174:110-117. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2019.06.001. Epub 2019 Jul 19.
Without urgent action, climate change will put the health of future populations at risk. Policies to reduce these risks require support from today's populations; however, there are few studies assessing public support for such policies. Willingness to pay (WtP), a measure of the maximum a person is prepared to pay for a defined benefit, is widely used to assess public support for policies. We used WtP to investigate whether there is public support to reduce future health risks from climate change and if individual and contextual factors affect WtP, including perceptions of the seriousness of the impacts of climate change.
A cross-sectional British survey.
Questions about people's WtP for policies to reduce future climate change-related deaths and their perceptions of the seriousness of climate change impacts were included in a British survey of adults aged 16 years and over (n=1859). We used contingent valuation, a survey-based method for eliciting WtP for outcomes like health which do not have a direct market value.
The majority (61%) were willing to pay to reduce future increases in climate change-related deaths in Britain. Those regarding climate change impacts as not at all serious were less willing to pay than those regarding the impacts as extremely serious (OR 0.04, 95% CI 0.02-0.09). Income was also related to WtP; the highest-income group were twice as likely to be willing to pay as the lowest-income group (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.40-3.29).
There was public support for policies to address future health impacts of climate change; the level of support varied with people's perceptions of the seriousness of these impacts and their financial circumstances. Our study adds to evidence that health, including the health of future populations, is an outcome that people value and suggests that framing climate change around such values may help to accelerate action.
如果不采取紧急行动,气候变化将危及未来人口的健康。减少这些风险的政策需要得到今天人口的支持;然而,很少有研究评估公众对这些政策的支持。支付意愿(WtP)是衡量一个人为特定利益愿意支付的最高金额的一种衡量标准,广泛用于评估公众对政策的支持。我们使用 WtP 来调查是否有公众支持减少未来气候变化带来的健康风险,以及个人和环境因素是否会影响 WtP,包括对气候变化影响的严重程度的看法。
一项英国横断面调查。
在一项针对 16 岁及以上成年人的英国调查中,包括了人们对减少未来与气候变化相关的死亡风险的政策的 WtP 以及他们对气候变化影响的严重程度的看法。我们使用了条件价值评估,这是一种基于调查的方法,用于评估健康等没有直接市场价值的结果的 WtP。
大多数(61%)人愿意为减少英国未来与气候变化相关的死亡人数增加而支付。那些认为气候变化影响一点也不严重的人比那些认为影响极其严重的人支付意愿更低(OR 0.04,95% CI 0.02-0.09)。收入也与 WtP 有关;收入最高的群体比收入最低的群体愿意支付的可能性高出两倍(OR 2.14,95% CI 1.40-3.29)。
公众支持解决未来气候变化对健康的影响的政策;支持的程度因人们对这些影响的严重程度和财务状况的看法而异。我们的研究增加了健康,包括未来人口的健康,是人们重视的结果的证据,并表明围绕这些价值观构建气候变化可能有助于加速行动。