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希腊当前金融危机之前及期间(2009 - 2015年)的死亡率趋势

Trends of Mortality in Greece Prior to and During Its Current Financial Crisis (2009-2015).

作者信息

Vardakas Konstantinos Z, Kyriakidou Margarita, Apiranthiti Katerina N, Almpani Spiridoula E, Heliou Dominiki, Stratigopoulou Dimitra, Giourmetaki Eleni, Lamprou Dimitra, Binou Georgia, Mpaltzoglou Elena, Falagas Matthew E

机构信息

Alfa Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Athens, Greece.

Department of Internal Medicine, Henry Dunant Hospital Center, Athens, Greece.

出版信息

Rambam Maimonides Med J. 2019 Jul 18;10(3):e0015. doi: 10.5041/RMMJ.10368.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To study mortality changes in Greece prior to and during the financial crisis.

STUDY DESIGN

Analysis of data by the Hellenic Statistical Authority (1955-2015).

RESULTS

During the crisis, mortality increased from 9.76/1000 in 2009 to 10.52/1000 in 2012 and to 11.16/1000 in 2015, driven by an increase in the number of deaths and a decrease in the estimated population. The annual increase of the expected mortality accelerated during the crisis; in contrast, age-adjusted mortality continued to decrease up to 2014 and increased in 2015. The subpopulations that seemed to be affected more during the crisis were the elderly (especially those over 70 years), women, and citizens in southern Greece. The common denominator of all these subgroups was older age. Mortality due to heart diseases continued to decline at an accelerated pace; due to neoplasia continued to increase at an accelerated pace; and stroke mortality reversed (from decline to increment).

CONCLUSIONS

The increment of crude mortality during the financial crisis in Greece should be attributed to the increase in deaths, only in part due to the aging population, the reduction in births, and the increase in emigration that contracted the population.

摘要

目的

研究希腊金融危机之前及期间的死亡率变化情况。

研究设计

由希腊统计局对数据进行分析(1955 - 2015年)。

结果

在危机期间,死亡率从2009年的9.76‰上升至2012年的10.52‰,并在2015年升至11.16‰,这是由死亡人数增加以及估计人口数减少导致的。危机期间预期死亡率的年增长率加快;相比之下,年龄标准化死亡率在2014年之前持续下降,并在2015年上升。危机期间似乎受影响更大的亚人群是老年人(尤其是70岁以上者)、女性以及希腊南部的居民。所有这些亚组的共同特征是年龄较大。心脏病导致的死亡率继续加速下降;肿瘤导致的死亡率继续加速上升;中风死亡率出现逆转(从下降转为上升)。

结论

希腊金融危机期间粗死亡率的上升应归因于死亡人数的增加,部分原因在于人口老龄化、出生人数减少以及移民增加导致人口收缩。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f9af/6649780/de6a9a8abcea/rmmj-10-3-e0015-g001.jpg

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