Global Tuberculosis Programme, World Health Organization, 20 avenue Appia, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland.
Bull World Health Organ. 2019 Aug 1;97(8):534-547D. doi: 10.2471/BLT.18.218651. Epub 2019 May 28.
To estimate of the number of children younger than 5 years who were household contacts of people with tuberculosis and were eligible for tuberculosis preventive treatment in 2017.
To estimate the number of eligible children, we obtained national values for the number of notified cases of bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis in 2017, the proportion of the population younger than 5 years in 2017 and average household size from published sources. We obtained global values for the number of active tuberculosis cases per household with an index case and for the prevalence of latent tuberculosis infection among children younger than 5 years who were household contacts of a tuberculosis case through systematic reviews, meta-analysis and Poisson regression models.
The estimated number of children younger than 5 years eligible for tuberculosis preventive treatment in 2017 globally was 1.27 million (95% uncertainty interval, UI: 1.24-1.31), which corresponded to an estimated global coverage of preventive treatment in children of 23% at best. By country, the estimated number ranged from less than one in the Bahamas, Iceland, Luxembourg and Malta to 350 000 (95% UI: 320 000-380 000) in India. Regionally, the highest estimates were for the World Health Organization (WHO) South-East Asia Region (510 000; 95% UI: 450 000-580 000) and the WHO African Region (470 000; 95% UI: 440 000-490 000).
Tuberculosis preventive treatment in children was underutilized globally in 2017. Treatment should be scaled up to help eliminate the pool of tuberculosis infection and achieve the End TB Strategy targets.
估计 2017 年年龄在 5 岁以下的肺结核患者家庭接触者中,有多少人有资格接受结核病预防治疗。
为了估计合格儿童的数量,我们从已发表的资料中获取了 2017 年全国登记的菌阳肺结核病例数、2017 年 5 岁以下人口比例和平均家庭规模等国家数据,以及通过系统评价、荟萃分析和泊松回归模型获取了全球每例家庭接触者中有活动肺结核病例的家庭中潜伏性结核感染的比例以及家庭接触者中年龄在 5 岁以下的儿童中潜伏性结核感染的流行率等全球数据。
2017 年全球年龄在 5 岁以下有资格接受结核病预防治疗的儿童估计有 127 万(95%置信区间,95%UI:124-131),这意味着预防治疗儿童的最佳覆盖率估计为 23%。按国家划分,估计数量从巴哈马、冰岛、卢森堡和马耳他的不足 1 人到印度的 35 万(95%UI:32 万-38 万)不等。区域方面,世界卫生组织(世卫组织)东南亚区域(51 万;95%UI:45 万-58 万)和世卫组织非洲区域(47 万;95%UI:44 万-49 万)的估计数量最高。
2017 年全球儿童结核病预防治疗的使用率较低。应扩大治疗规模,以帮助消除结核感染池,实现终止结核病战略目标。