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巴基斯坦电力危机的可持续解决方案:实现 100%可再生能源的机遇、障碍和政策影响。

A sustainable solution for electricity crisis in Pakistan: opportunities, barriers, and policy implications for 100% renewable energy.

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 29 Jiangsu Avenue, Nanjing, 211106, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Oct;26(29):29687-29703. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-06102-0. Epub 2019 Aug 12.

Abstract

This study aims to explore the potential of renewable energy resources to attain a 100% renewable electricity system in Pakistan. Currently, most of the electricity supply comes from fossil fuel, which is imported because Pakistan lacks its own resources. The imports of fossil fuel cost a huge amount and therefore afflict the already fragile economy. Further, the policy to rely on fossil fuel has significantly failed to address the energy crisis that has been lingering for the past two decades, and an acute shortage of electricity hinders the progress of various sectors of the economy. In addition, the global climate index has listed Pakistan among the top 10 climate-vulnerable countries, which makes it pertinent for the country to take precautionary measures for climate change mitigation. Pakistan has abundant renewable energy resources, which are more than sufficient to meet 100% of the present and future electricity demands. On the basis of the existing literature and the dilemma of the energy crisis and climate vulnerability, this study argues that transition to a 100% renewable electricity system is not only an option but also an urgent requirement. Further, we list the potential barriers, in the context of Pakistan, and put forward the policy implications for a swift transition to an entirely renewable electricity system.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨可再生能源资源在巴基斯坦实现 100%可再生电力系统的潜力。目前,大部分电力供应来自进口的化石燃料,因为巴基斯坦缺乏自己的资源。化石燃料的进口成本巨大,因此使本已脆弱的经济雪上加霜。此外,依赖化石燃料的政策未能解决过去二十年来挥之不去的能源危机,电力严重短缺阻碍了经济各部门的发展。此外,全球气候指数将巴基斯坦列为十大气候脆弱国家之一,因此该国必须采取预防气候变化的措施。巴基斯坦拥有丰富的可再生能源资源,足以满足目前和未来 100%的电力需求。基于现有文献以及能源危机和气候脆弱性的困境,本研究认为向 100%可再生电力系统的过渡不仅是一种选择,而且是一种紧迫的要求。此外,我们列出了在巴基斯坦过渡到完全可再生电力系统的潜在障碍,并提出了迅速过渡到完全可再生电力系统的政策建议。

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