School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Queensland, Australia; Gamma Energy Technology, Australia.
Gamma Energy Technology, Australia.
J Environ Manage. 2020 Dec 15;276:111323. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111323. Epub 2020 Sep 12.
Australia offers an interesting case study of climate policy effectiveness as Australia has 'tried' a wide range of policies to mixed effect. Given that more than half of Australia's greenhouse gas emissions typically come from stationary energy generation, most climate policy in Australia has focussed on electricity sector reform, particularly the uptake of variable renewable energy and the decrease of thermal power generation. Electricity supply in Australia has undergone substantial change over recent years, substantially due to these policies, and needs to continue changing in the future to meet climate change mitigation targets and ensure stable, cost-effective electricity supply. This paper is therefore written from the perspective of an electricity planner and seeks to learn from the experiences of climate policies tried over recent decades. We start by reviewing the history of Australian energy policy and a description of how the Australian electricity network is structured to operate. We examine the theory and effects of different policies tried, which range from renewable energy targets, carbon pricing schemes, subsidies for renewable energy and research and development initiatives. We make three key observations from the case analysis: (1) that there has been substantial expense and effort effectively wasted through duplicate effects of different policy mechanisms by both federal and state governments; (2) as various mechanisms enable variable renewable energy generation to increase, the market becomes distorted, increasing total system costs and decreasing system robustness and resilience; and (3) the narrowed focus of climate policy mechanisms on certain variable renewables, such as solar photovoltaic and wind generation, omitted the opportunity for uptake of scale-able low carbon, firm generation options, like nuclear power and carbon capture and storage.
澳大利亚提供了一个有关气候政策效果的有趣案例研究,因为澳大利亚已经“尝试”了各种政策,但效果参差不齐。鉴于澳大利亚超过一半的温室气体排放通常来自固定能源发电,澳大利亚的大多数气候政策都集中在电力部门改革上,特别是可变可再生能源的采用和火力发电的减少。近年来,澳大利亚的电力供应发生了重大变化,这主要是由于这些政策,未来还需要继续变化,以实现气候变化缓解目标并确保稳定、具有成本效益的电力供应。因此,本文从电力规划者的角度撰写,旨在借鉴过去几十年尝试的气候政策经验。我们首先回顾澳大利亚能源政策的历史,并描述澳大利亚电网的结构如何运作。我们研究了不同政策的理论和效果,这些政策包括可再生能源目标、碳定价计划、可再生能源补贴以及研发举措。我们从案例分析中得出三个关键观察结果:(1)联邦和州政府的不同政策机制的重复效应导致了大量的费用和努力被浪费;(2)随着各种机制使可变可再生能源发电增加,市场变得扭曲,增加了系统总成本,降低了系统的稳健性和弹性;(3)气候政策机制对某些可变可再生能源(如太阳能光伏和风力发电)的关注过于狭窄,错过了采用规模化低碳、可靠发电选项(如核能和碳捕集与封存)的机会。