Anderson P
Oxfordshire Health Authority.
BMJ. 1988 Oct 1;297(6652):824-6. doi: 10.1136/bmj.297.6652.824.
To estimate the excess mortality due to alcohol in England and Wales death rates specific to alcohol consumption that had been derived from five longitudinal studies were applied to the current population divided into categories of alcohol consumption. Because of the J shaped relation between alcohol consumption and death the excess mortality used as a baseline was an alcohol consumption of 1-10 units/week and an adjustment was made for the slight excess mortality of abstainers. The number of excess deaths was obtained by subtracting the number of deaths expected if all the population had the consumption of the lowest risk group; correction for the total observed mortality in the population was made. This resulted in an estimate of 28,000 deaths each year in England and Wales as the excess mortality among people aged 15-74 associated with alcohol consumption.
为估算英格兰和威尔士因饮酒导致的额外死亡率，将五项纵向研究得出的特定饮酒量死亡率应用于按饮酒量分类的当前人口。由于饮酒量与死亡率呈J形关系，用作基线的额外死亡率是每周饮酒1 - 10单位，并且对戒酒者的轻微额外死亡率进行了调整。额外死亡人数是通过减去假设所有人口都有最低风险组饮酒量时预期的死亡人数得到的；对人口中观察到的总死亡率进行了校正。这得出每年在英格兰和威尔士有28000人死亡，这是15 - 74岁人群中与饮酒相关的额外死亡率。
