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运用聚类分析探索与热带气旋相关的死亡模式。

Using cluster analysis to explore mortality patterns associated with tropical cyclones.

机构信息

Clinical Psychologist, Division of Psychology and Counseling, Office of Student Affairs, Kaohsiung Medical University, Taiwan.

Associate Professor, Institute of Public Affairs Management, National Sun Yat-sen University, Taiwan.

出版信息

Disasters. 2019 Oct;43(4):891-905. doi: 10.1111/disa.12401. Epub 2019 Aug 16.

Abstract

Understanding the circumstances and conditions surrounding disaster-attributed deaths may contribute to designing and implementing emergency preparedness and response programmes. This paper introduces a three-step cluster analysis of multiple binary variables to investigate mortality patterns related to tropical cyclones. It is designed to overcome the difficulties of performing cluster analysis in a disaster database that is composed in part of nominal variables and is unavoidably incomplete owing to missing information. The first step in the process codes all variables as binary data in order to accommodate the nominal variables. The second step calculates Spearman's rank correlation coefficients for pairs of variables. And the third step subjects the correlation coefficients to cluster analysis. Data related to 1,575 deaths attributed to tropical cyclones (also known as typhoons) that struck Taiwan between 2000 and 2015 are used to illustrate the method. The results yield two distinct groups of variables that are worthy of further exploration.

摘要

了解灾害归因死亡的情况和条件可能有助于设计和实施应急准备和应对计划。本文介绍了一种三步聚类分析多个二分类变量的方法,以调查与热带气旋相关的死亡模式。该方法旨在克服在由部分名义变量组成的灾害数据库中进行聚类分析的困难,并且由于信息缺失,该数据库不可避免地不完整。该方法的第一步将所有变量编码为二进制数据,以适应名义变量。第二步计算变量对之间的斯皮尔曼等级相关系数。第三步对相关系数进行聚类分析。该方法使用了 2000 年至 2015 年间袭击台湾的 1575 例归因于热带气旋(也称为台风)的死亡数据进行说明。结果产生了两个具有进一步研究价值的变量组。

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