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2004 年至 2016 年期间中国人群的死亡模式趋势和差异。

Mortality pattern trends and disparities among Chinese from 2004 to 2016.

机构信息

College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, 100 Science Avenue, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, People's Republic of China.

The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, People's Road, Zhengzhou, 450000, Henan, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2019 Sep 2;19(1):780. doi: 10.1186/s12889-019-7163-9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

With the changes in environmental, medical technique, population structure and national health projects, human mortality rates have undergone great changes all over the world. According to "World Health Statistics 2016: Monitoring Health for the SDGs (Sustainable Development Goals)", we can draw a globally vision about life expectancy and cause of death; also, significant inequality still persists within and among countries. This study was designed to research into the trend of mortality pattern in China, evaluate the disparities of age-specific and disease-specific mortality rates between male and female, and provides a scientific basis for further prevention strategies and policies design.

METHODS

Data from the Chinese Disease Surveillance Points system were used to calculate crude and age-adjusted death rates, annual percent changes (APC) for men and women during 2004 to 2016. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) were performed through the direct method with the World Health Organization's World Standard Population. APC, according to log linear model, was adopted to describe the mortality rate trend. The χ test was used to compare differences between age-specific and cause-specific mortality rates of men and women. Data analysis and figures were completed by R software.

RESULTS

The mortality rates of men and women have decreased significantly (P < 0.05) during 2004-2016, and the APC were1.98 and 2.45%, respectively. In 2016, the crude mortality rate (CMR) and ASMR in all causes of death were 658.50 and 490.28 per 100,000 per year, respectively. The 5 leading causes of death were malignant neoplasm, cerebrovascular disease, heart disease, COPD, and accidental injury. The mortality rates of men were higher than that of women in all age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

There are severe health gaps and disparities between male and female, and the chronic non-communicable diseases continue to be a serious health threat to Chinese residents.

摘要

背景

随着环境、医疗技术、人口结构和国家卫生项目的变化,全球各地的人类死亡率发生了巨大变化。根据《2016 年世界卫生统计:监测可持续发展目标下的卫生》,我们可以对预期寿命和死亡原因有一个全球的了解;此外,国家内部和国家之间仍然存在显著的不平等。本研究旨在研究中国死亡率模式的趋势,评估男性和女性特定年龄和特定疾病死亡率的差异,并为进一步制定预防策略和政策提供科学依据。

方法

使用中国疾病监测点系统的数据,计算 2004 年至 2016 年期间男性和女性的粗死亡率和年龄调整死亡率、男性和女性的年变化百分比(APC)。使用世界卫生组织世界标准人口的直接法计算年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)。采用对数线性模型描述死亡率趋势。采用 χ 检验比较男性和女性特定年龄和特定死因死亡率的差异。数据分析和图形由 R 软件完成。

结果

2004-2016 年期间,男性和女性的死亡率均显著下降(P<0.05),APC 分别为 1.98%和 2.45%。2016 年,全因粗死亡率(CMR)和 ASMR 分别为 658.50 和 490.28/10 万/年。前 5 位死因是恶性肿瘤、脑血管病、心脏病、COPD 和意外伤害。各年龄段男性死亡率均高于女性。

结论

男性和女性之间存在严重的健康差距和不平等,慢性非传染性疾病仍然是中国居民的严重健康威胁。

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