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国际监测系统放射性核素站探测水下核爆炸“wigwam”的能力。

The detectability of the Wigwam underwater nuclear explosion by the radionuclide stations of the International Monitoring System.

机构信息

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, PO Box 999, Richland, WA, USA.

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, PO Box 999, Richland, WA, USA.

出版信息

J Environ Radioact. 2019 Nov;208-209:106030. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2019.106030. Epub 2019 Aug 31.

Abstract

The Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) bans all nuclear explosions, including those detonated from an underwater nuclear explosion. To improve the understanding of the radionuclide signatures of such an event, and whether it would be detectable under the verification regime of the CTBT, the 1955 Wigwam underwater nuclear explosive test has been modelled. Inventory calculations and atmospheric transport modelling has been performed to estimate the activity at the radionuclide stations (RN) of the International Monitoring System (IMS). This has utilized reported release values (0.92%) and meteorological data from the event. The research shows that there is a high probability that Wigwam would have been detectable at U.S. IMS stations at Wake Island (RN77) at 8.4 d, Upi, Guam (RN80) at 10.7 d and Sand Point, AK (RN71) at 13.7 d. At these locations, the majority of IMS relevant radionuclides were fission products, such that additional radionuclides from the seawater activation had largely decayed before reaching the stations.

摘要

《全面禁止核试验条约》(CTBT)禁止所有核爆炸,包括水下核爆炸引发的核爆炸。为了提高对这种事件的放射性核素特征的认识,以及在 CTBT 的核查制度下是否可以检测到这种事件,对 1955 年的 Wigwam 水下核爆炸试验进行了建模。进行了清单计算和大气传输建模,以估计国际监测系统(IMS)的放射性核素监测站(RN)的活度。这利用了报告的释放值(0.92%)和事件期间的气象数据。研究表明,Wigwam 很有可能在美国 IMS 监测站 Wake Island(RN77)处被探测到,时间为 8.4d,Guam 的 Upi(RN80)处为 10.7d,以及阿拉斯加的 Sand Point(RN71)处为 13.7d。在这些地点,大多数与 IMS 相关的放射性核素是裂变产物,因此,到达监测站之前,来自海水激活的额外放射性核素已经大部分衰变。

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