Ji Li-Wei, Jing Chun-Xia, Zhuang Su-Lian, Pan Wei-Cheng, Hu Xing-Po
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology.
Department of Gastroenterology.
Medicine (Baltimore). 2019 Sep;98(36):e15719. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000015719.
We evaluated the relationship between the age at first use of oral contraceptives (OC) and breast cancer (BC) risk.
We searched PubMed, Embase, and related reviews published through June 28, 2018, and used summary relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to evaluate the cancer risks, and fixed-effects dose-response meta-analysis to assess potential linear and non-linear dose-response relationships.
We included 10 studies, with 8585 BC cases among 686,305 participants. The pooled RR for BC was 1.24 (95% CI: 1.10-1.41), with moderate heterogeneities (I = 66.5%, P < .001). No significant publication bias was found (P = .584 for Begg test, P = .597 for Egger test). A linear dose-response relationship between the age at first OC use and BC risk was detected (P = .518 for non-linearity). Subgroup analyses were restricted to studies done by BC subtypes, region, sample size, follow-up time and study quality. Inconsistent consequences with no statistical significance were explored when limited to studies from Western countries, study quality <7, sample size <10,000, follow-up time <5 years, and BC subtypes defined by estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER-2) expression status in tumor tissue. Sensitivity analyses indicated that our results were stable and reliable after removing each study in turn and omitting studies of adjusted unreported variables.
A significant linear relationship between the age at first OC use and BC risk was confirmed. No further consistent differences are noted in multiple aspects of BC subtypes defined by progesterone or ER status.
我们评估了首次使用口服避孕药(OC)的年龄与乳腺癌(BC)风险之间的关系。
我们检索了截至2018年6月28日发表的PubMed、Embase及相关综述,使用汇总相对风险(RR)和95%置信区间(CI)评估癌症风险,并采用固定效应剂量反应荟萃分析评估潜在的线性和非线性剂量反应关系。
我们纳入了10项研究,686,305名参与者中有8585例BC病例。BC的汇总RR为1.24(95%CI:1.10 - 1.41),存在中度异质性(I = 66.5%,P <.001)。未发现显著的发表偏倚(Begg检验P =.584,Egger检验P =.597)。检测到首次使用OC的年龄与BC风险之间存在线性剂量反应关系(非线性检验P =.518)。亚组分析限于按BC亚型、地区、样本量、随访时间和研究质量进行的研究。当限于来自西方国家的研究、研究质量<7、样本量<10,000、随访时间<5年以及根据肿瘤组织中雌激素受体(ER)、孕激素受体(PR)和人表皮生长因子受体2(HER-2)表达状态定义的BC亚型时,探讨了无统计学意义的不一致结果。敏感性分析表明,依次剔除每项研究并省略调整后未报告变量的研究后,我们的结果稳定可靠。
首次使用OC的年龄与BC风险之间存在显著的线性关系。在由孕激素或ER状态定义的BC亚型的多个方面未发现进一步一致的差异。