Deng Hansen, Yue John K, Winkler Ethan A, Dhall Sanjay S, Manley Geoffrey T, Tarapore Phiroz E
1Department of Neurological Surgery, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
2Brain and Spinal Injury Center, San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco; and.
J Neurosurg Pediatr. 2019 Sep 6;24(5):498-508. doi: 10.3171/2019.5.PEDS19119. Print 2019 Nov 1.
Pediatric firearm injury is a leading cause of death and disability in the youth of the United States. The epidemiology of and outcomes following gunshot wounds to the head (GSWHs) are in need of systematic characterization. Here, the authors analyzed pediatric GSWHs from a population-based sample to identify predictors of prolonged hospitalization, morbidity, and death.
All patients younger than 18 years of age and diagnosed with a GSWH in the National Sample Program (NSP) of the National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB) in 2003-2012 were eligible for inclusion in this study. Variables of interest included injury intent, firearm type, site of incident, age, sex, race, health insurance, geographic region, trauma center level, isolated traumatic brain injury (TBI), hypotension in the emergency department, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, and Injury Severity Score (ISS). Risk predictors for a prolonged hospital stay, morbidity, and mortality were identified. Odds ratios, mean increases or decreases (B), and 95% confidence intervals were reported. Statistical significance was assessed at α < 0.001 accounting for multiple comparisons.
In a weighted sample of 2847 pediatric patients with GSWHs, the mean age was 14.8 ± 3.3 years, 79.2% were male, and 59.0% had severe TBI (GCS score 3-8). The mechanism of assault (63.0%), the handgun as firearm (45.6%), and an injury incurred in a residential area (40.6%) were most common. The mean hospital length of stay was 11.6 ± 14.4 days for the survivors, for whom suicide injuries involved longer hospitalizations (B = 5.9-day increase, 95% CI 3.3-8.6, p < 0.001) relative to those for accidental injuries. Mortality was 45.1% overall but was greater with injury due to suicidal intent (mortality 71.5%, p < 0.001) or caused by a shotgun (mortality 56.5%, p < 0.001). Lower GCS scores, higher ISSs, and emergency room hypotension predicted poorer outcomes. Patients with private insurance had lower mortality odds than those with Medicare/Medicaid (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.7-3.4, p < 0.001) or government insurance (OR 3.6, 95% CI 2.2-5.8, p < 0.001). Management at level II centers, compared to level I, was associated with lower odds of returning home (OR 0.3, 95% CI 0.2-0.5, p < 0.001).
From 2003 to 2012, with regard to pediatric TBI hospitalizations due to GSWHs, their proportion remained stable, those caused by accidental injuries decreased, and those attributable to suicide increased. Overall mortality was 45%. Hypotension, cranial and overall injury severity, and suicidal intent were associated with poor prognoses. Patients treated at level II trauma centers had lower odds of being discharged home. Given the spectrum of risk factors that predispose children to GSWHs, emphasis on screening, parental education, and standardization of critical care management is needed to improve outcomes.
儿童火器伤是美国青少年死亡和残疾的主要原因。头部枪伤(GSWHs)的流行病学及伤后结局需要系统描述。在此,作者分析了基于人群样本的儿童GSWHs,以确定延长住院时间、发病和死亡的预测因素。
2003 - 2012年在国家创伤数据库(NTDB)的国家样本计划(NSP)中所有年龄小于18岁且被诊断为GSWHs的患者符合本研究纳入标准。感兴趣的变量包括受伤意图、火器类型、事件发生地点、年龄、性别、种族、健康保险、地理区域、创伤中心级别、单纯性创伤性脑损伤(TBI)、急诊科低血压、格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评分和损伤严重程度评分(ISS)。确定了延长住院时间、发病和死亡的风险预测因素。报告了比值比、平均增加或减少量(B)以及95%置信区间。考虑到多重比较,在α < 0.001水平评估统计学显著性。
在2847例儿童GSWHs加权样本中,平均年龄为14.8 ± 3.3岁,79.2%为男性,59.0%有严重TBI(GCS评分3 - 8)。袭击机制(63.0%)、手枪作为火器(45.6%)以及在居民区受伤(40.6%)最为常见。幸存者的平均住院时间为11.6 ± 14.4天,其中自杀性损伤患者的住院时间相对于意外损伤患者更长(B = 增加5.9天,95%置信区间3.3 - 8.6,p < 0.001)。总体死亡率为45.1%,但自杀意图导致的损伤死亡率更高(死亡率71.5%,p < 0.001)或霰弹枪造成的损伤死亡率更高(死亡率56.5%,p < 0.001)。较低的GCS评分、较高的ISS评分和急诊科低血压预示着较差的结局。有私人保险的患者死亡率比值低于有医疗保险/医疗补助的患者(比值比2.4,95%置信区间1.7 - 3.4,p < 0.001)或政府保险的患者(比值比3.6,95%置信区间2.2 - 5.8,p < 0.001)。与I级中心相比,II级中心的治疗与回家几率较低相关(比值比0.3,95%置信区间0.2 - 0.5,p < 0.001)。
2003年至2012年,因GSWHs导致的儿童TBI住院病例中,其比例保持稳定,意外损伤导致的病例减少,自杀导致的病例增加。总体死亡率为45%。低血压、颅脑和全身损伤严重程度以及自杀意图与预后不良相关。在II级创伤中心接受治疗的患者回家几率较低。鉴于使儿童易发生GSWHs的一系列风险因素范围广,需要强调筛查、家长教育以及重症监护管理的标准化以改善结局。