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大气 PM 与 COPD 患病率的关系:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Association between outdoor PM and prevalence of COPD: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Air Quality Monitoring, National Institute of Environmental Health, China CDC, Beijing, China.

Occupational Epidemiology and Risk Assessment, The National Institute of Occupational Health and Poison Control, China CDC, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Postgrad Med J. 2019 Nov;95(1129):612-618. doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2019-136675. Epub 2019 Sep 7.

Abstract

There were conflictions and differences among the results of cross-sectional studies association between PM and COPD prevalence. We aimed to explore the real association between outdoor PM and COPD prevalence, analyze the possible cause to the differences and conflictions in previous cross-sectional studies. Cross-sectional literatures about the association between outdoor PM and COPD prevalence were selected up to 12 September 2018. Subgroup analysis was performed to explore the source of the heterogeneity. Publication bias was tested via funnel plot. Leave-one-out method was used to conduct influential analysis. Variance analysis was used to analyze the influence of concentration, literature quality and age (over 60 or not) on the ln (aOR) values. The initial search revealed 230 studies, of which 8 were selected. The heterogeneity in this study was significant (I=62, P<0.01), and random effects model was used. The pooled OR for the association between PM and COPD prevalence is 2.32(95%CI, 1.91-2.82). There was no evidence of publication bias. Subgroup analysis showed the subgroup of age seemed to be the source of heterogeneity (P=0.0143, residual I=0%). Variance analysis showed that the differences of ln (aOR) among each concentration group(p=0.0075) were statistically significant, the same as age groups(P=0.0234). This meta-analysis study demonstrated a conclusive association between PM and prevalence of COPD (OR: 2.32, 95%CI 1.91-2.82). The significant heterogeneity among selected studies was mainly caused by age (over 60 or not). High PM concentration should be needed in further research of the relationship between PM and chronic diseases.

摘要

横断面研究中 PM 与 COPD 患病率之间的关联存在矛盾和差异。我们旨在探讨户外 PM 与 COPD 患病率之间的真实关联,分析先前横断面研究中差异和矛盾的可能原因。截至 2018 年 9 月 12 日,我们选择了有关户外 PM 与 COPD 患病率之间关联的横断面文献。进行了亚组分析以探索异质性的来源。通过漏斗图测试发表偏倚。使用删除一个观测值的方法进行影响分析。方差分析用于分析浓度、文献质量和年龄(大于 60 岁或否)对 ln(aOR)值的影响。最初的搜索显示有 230 项研究,其中 8 项被选中。本研究的异质性非常显著(I=62,P<0.01),采用随机效应模型。PM 与 COPD 患病率之间关联的汇总 OR 为 2.32(95%CI,1.91-2.82)。没有发表偏倚的证据。亚组分析表明,年龄亚组似乎是异质性的来源(P=0.0143,残留 I=0%)。方差分析表明,各浓度组之间的 ln(aOR)差异具有统计学意义(p=0.0075),与年龄组相同(P=0.0234)。这项荟萃分析研究表明 PM 与 COPD 患病率之间存在明确的关联(OR:2.32,95%CI 1.91-2.82)。入选研究之间的显著异质性主要是由年龄(大于 60 岁或否)引起的。在进一步研究 PM 与慢性病之间的关系时,应考虑较高的 PM 浓度。

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