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急性健康冲击与劳动力市场结果:来自经济危机后的证据。

Acute health shocks and labour market outcomes: Evidence from the post crash era.

机构信息

Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, United Kingdom; Centre for Health Economics, Monash University, Australia.

Centre for Health Economics and Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Econ Hum Biol. 2020 Jan;36:100811. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2019.100811. Epub 2019 Aug 14.

Abstract

We investigate the labour supply response to an acute health shock for individuals of all working ages, in the post crash era, combining coarsened exact matching and entropy balancing to preprocess data prior to undertaking parametric regression. Identification exploits uncertainty in the timing of an acute health shock, defined by the incidence of cancer, stroke, or heart attack, based on data from Understanding Society. The main finding implies a substantial increase in the baseline probability of labour market exit along with reduced hours and earnings. Younger workers display a stronger labour market attachment than older counterparts, conditional on a health shock. Impacts are stronger for women, older workers, and those who experience more severe limitations and impairments. This is shown to be robust to a broad range of approaches to estimation. Sensitivity tests based on pre-treatment outcomes and using future health shocks as a placebo treatment support our identification strategy.

摘要

我们研究了在崩溃后时代,所有工作年龄段的个体对急性健康冲击的劳动力供应反应,在进行参数回归之前,我们结合粗化精确匹配和熵平衡来预处理数据。识别利用了基于理解社会数据的癌症、中风或心脏病发作等急性健康冲击发生时间的不确定性。主要发现表明,在基线概率方面,劳动力市场退出的可能性大幅增加,工作时间和收入减少。对于健康冲击下的年轻工人来说,他们比老年工人的劳动力市场联系更为紧密。对于女性、老年工人以及那些经历更严重的限制和损伤的人来说,影响更为强烈。这在广泛的估计方法中是稳健的。基于预处理结果的敏感性测试,并将未来的健康冲击作为安慰剂处理,支持了我们的识别策略。

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