Department of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht and Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Center for Life Course Health Research, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
Eur J Public Health. 2022 Oct 3;32(5):723-728. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckac110.
Severe health events may lead to reduced income among survivors. Importantly, individuals' risks for both severe health events and for lower income are shaped by early life course. Our aim was to consider early-life factors in determining lost individual income after stroke, heart attack and cancer between ages 18 and 50.
A population-based Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 (N = 12 058) was used. Early-life factors were collected since mid-pregnancy until age 16 years and used to match all persons with stroke, heart attack, or cancer (n = 995) with four controls. Registered annual individual income development 15 years before and after the event was compared between cases and propensity score matched controls using time-to-event mixed models, stratified for sex.
Compared to controls, a new decreasing income trend emerged among women after stroke (logarithmic income per time -0.54; 95% CI -0.88 to -0.20), whereas men getting stroke showed declining earnings already by the time of the event, further declining after stroke (-1.00, -1.37 to -0.63). Getting heart attack was associated with a new declining trend both in women (-0.68; -1.28 to -0.09) and men (-0.69, -1.05 to -0.32). Income declined also among control men (-0.24, -0.34 to -0.14), who had higher income but were less educated than control women.
Stroke and heart attack but not cancer have exogenous deleterious effects on individual economy, independently of early-life factors. The effects accelerate by time. Negative income trend in control men shows that severe health events do not explain all decrease in income.
严重的健康事件可能导致幸存者收入减少。重要的是,个体罹患严重健康事件和收入较低的风险受到其早期生命历程的影响。我们的目的是考虑早期生命历程因素,以确定 18 至 50 岁之间发生中风、心脏病发作和癌症后个体收入的损失。
我们使用了一项基于人群的芬兰北部出生队列 1966 年研究(N=12058)。从妊娠中期到 16 岁收集早期生命历程因素,并将其用于匹配所有中风、心脏病发作或癌症患者(n=995)和 4 名对照者。使用时间事件混合模型,按性别分层,比较病例和倾向评分匹配对照者在事件发生前 15 年的个体年收入发展情况。
与对照者相比,女性中风后出现了新的收入下降趋势(对数收入每时间单位 -0.54;95%置信区间 -0.88 至 -0.20),而男性中风患者在发生中风时就已经出现了收入下降的趋势,中风后进一步下降(-1.00,-1.37 至 -0.63)。女性(-0.68;-1.28 至 -0.09)和男性(-0.69,-1.05 至 -0.32)心脏病发作后也出现了新的收入下降趋势。对照组男性的收入也下降了(-0.24,-0.34 至 -0.14),他们的收入较高,但受教育程度低于对照组女性。
中风和心脏病发作而非癌症对个体经济有外生的不利影响,这种影响会随时间加速。对照组男性的负收入趋势表明,严重的健康事件并不能解释所有收入下降的原因。