Rakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda; Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda.
Rakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA; Social and Behavioral Interventions Program, Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Lancet HIV. 2019 Oct;6(10):e680-e687. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(19)30190-0. Epub 2019 Sep 15.
BACKGROUND: Targeting combination HIV interventions to locations and populations with high HIV burden is a global priority, but the impact of these strategies on HIV incidence is unclear. We assessed the impact of combination HIV interventions on HIV incidence in four HIV-hyperendemic communities in Uganda. METHODS: We did an open population-based cohort study of people aged 15-49 years residing in four fishing communities on Lake Victoria. The communities were surveyed five times to collect self-reported demographic, behavioural, and service-uptake data. Free HIV testing was provided at each interview, with referral to combination HIV intervention services as appropriate. From November, 2011, combination HIV intervention services were rapidly expanded in these geographical areas. We evaluated trends in HIV testing coverage among all participants, circumcision coverage among male participants, antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage and HIV viral load among HIV-positive participants, and sexual behaviours and HIV incidence among HIV-negative participants. FINDINGS: From Nov 4, 2011, to Aug 16, 2017, data were collected from five surveys. Overall, 8942 participants contributed 20 721 person-visits; 4619 (52%) of 8942 participants were male. HIV prevalence was 41% (1598 of 3870) in the 2011-12 baseline survey and declined to 37% (1740 of 4738) at the final survey (p<0·0001). 3222 participants who were HIV-negative at baseline, and who had at least one repeat visit, contributed 9477 person-years of follow-up, and 230 incident HIV infections occurred. From the first survey in 2011-12 to the last survey in 2016-17, HIV testing coverage increased from 68% (2613 of 3870) to 96% (4526 of 4738; p<0·0001); male circumcision coverage increased from 35% (698 of 2011) to 65% (1630 of 2525; p<0·0001); ART coverage increased from 16% (254 of 1598) to 82% (1420 of 1740; p<0·0001); and population HIV viral load suppression in all HIV-positive participants increased from 34% (546 of 1596) to 80% (1383 of 1734; p<0·0001). Risky sexual behaviours did not decrease over this period. HIV incidence decreased from 3·43 per 100 person-years (95% CI 2·45-4·67) in 2011-12 to 1·59 per 100 person-years (95% CI 1·19-2·07) in 2016-17; adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0·52 (95% CI 0·34-0·79). Declines in HIV incidence were similar among men (adjusted IRR 0·53, 95% CI 0·30-0·93) and women (0·51, 0·27-0·96). The risk of incident HIV infection was lower in circumcised men than in uncircumcised men (0·46, 0·32-0·67). INTERPRETATION: Rapid expansion of combination HIV interventions in HIV-hyperendemic fishing communities is feasible and could have a substantial impact on HIV incidence. However, incidence remains higher than HIV epidemic control targets, and additional efforts will be needed to achieve this global health priority. FUNDING: The National Institute of Mental Health, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, the National Institute of Child Health and Development, the National Cancer Institute, the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases Division of Intramural Research, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Uganda, Karolinska Institutet, and the Johns Hopkins University Center for AIDS Research.
背景:针对高 HIV 负担的地点和人群实施针对 HIV 的综合干预措施是全球重点,但这些策略对 HIV 发病率的影响尚不清楚。我们评估了在乌干达四个 HIV 高度流行社区中实施综合 HIV 干预措施对 HIV 发病率的影响。
方法:我们对居住在维多利亚湖四个渔区的 15-49 岁人群进行了一项基于人群的开放性队列研究。五次调查收集自我报告的人口统计学、行为和服务利用数据。每次访谈都提供免费的 HIV 检测,并根据需要将感染者转介至综合 HIV 干预服务机构。从 2011 年 11 月起,在这些地理区域迅速扩大了综合 HIV 干预服务。我们评估了所有参与者的 HIV 检测覆盖率、男性参与者的包皮环切率、HIV 阳性参与者的抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)覆盖率和 HIV 病毒载量以及 HIV 阴性参与者的性行为和 HIV 发病率的变化趋势。
结果:从 2011 年 11 月 4 日至 2017 年 8 月 16 日,共进行了五次调查。共有 8942 名参与者,共进行了 20721 人次的随访,其中 4619 名(52%)为男性。2011-12 年基线调查 HIV 流行率为 41%(1598/3870),最后一次调查(2016-17 年)下降至 37%(1740/4738)(p<0·0001)。在基线时 HIV 阴性且至少有一次重复就诊的 3222 名参与者,共随访 9477 人年,有 230 人发生了 HIV 感染。从 2011-12 年第一次调查到 2016-17 年最后一次调查,HIV 检测覆盖率从 68%(2613/3870)增加到 96%(4526/4738;p<0·0001);男性包皮环切率从 35%(698/2011)增加到 65%(1630/2525;p<0·0001);ART 覆盖率从 16%(254/1598)增加到 82%(1420/1740;p<0·0001);所有 HIV 阳性参与者的人群 HIV 病毒载量抑制率从 34%(546/1596)增加到 80%(1383/1734;p<0·0001)。在此期间,危险性行为并未减少。HIV 发病率从 2011-12 年的 3.43 例/100 人年(95%CI 2.45-4.67)下降到 2016-17 年的 1.59 例/100 人年(95%CI 1.19-2.07);调整后的发病率比值(IRR)为 0.52(95%CI 0.34-0.79)。男性(调整后的 IRR 0.53,95%CI 0.30-0.93)和女性(0.51,95%CI 0.27-0.96)的 HIV 发病率下降相似。与未接受包皮环切的男性相比,接受包皮环切的男性发生 HIV 感染的风险较低(0.46,0.32-0.67)。
解释:在 HIV 高度流行的渔区迅速扩大综合 HIV 干预措施是可行的,可能对 HIV 发病率产生重大影响。然而,发病率仍然高于 HIV 流行控制目标,需要做出更多努力才能实现这一全球健康重点。
资助:美国国立卫生研究院、美国国立过敏和传染病研究所、美国国立儿童健康与人类发展研究所、美国国立癌症研究所、美国国立过敏和传染病研究所传染病分部、疾病预防控制中心(乌干达)、卡罗林斯卡学院和约翰霍普金斯大学艾滋病研究中心。
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