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体育伤害监测中处理观察聚类的统计方法。

Statistical Methods for Handling Observation Clustering in Sports Injury Surveillance.

机构信息

Matthew Gfeller Sport-Related TBI Research Center, Department of Exercise and Sport Science, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston.

出版信息

J Athl Train. 2019 Nov;54(11):1192-1196. doi: 10.4085/1062-6050-438-18. Epub 2019 Sep 25.

Abstract

CONTEXT

Advances in sports injury-surveillance methods have made it possible to accommodate non-time-loss (NTL) injury reporting; however, the analysis of surveillance data now requires careful consideration of the nuances of NTL injury records.

BACKGROUND

Injury-surveillance mechanisms that record NTL injuries are more likely to contain multiple injury records per athlete. These must be handled appropriately in statistical analyses to make methodologically sound inferences.

METHODS

We simulated datasets of NTL injuries using varying degrees of observation clustering and compared the inferences made using traditional techniques with those made after accounting for clustering in computations of injury proportion ratios.

RESULTS

Inappropriate handling of even moderate clustering resulted in flawed inferences in 10% to 12% of our simulations. We observed greater bias in our estimates as the degree of clustering increased.

CONCLUSIONS

We urge investigators to carefully consider observation clustering and adapt analytical methods to accommodate the evolving sophistication of surveillance.

摘要

背景

记录非全时损失(NTL)伤害报告的运动伤害监测方法的进步使得这成为可能;然而,监测数据的分析现在需要仔细考虑 NTL 伤害记录的细微差别。

语境

运动伤害监测方法的进步使得记录非全时损失(NTL)伤害报告成为可能;然而,监测数据的分析现在需要仔细考虑 NTL 伤害记录的细微差别。

方法

我们使用不同程度的观察聚类模拟了 NTL 伤害数据集,并比较了使用传统技术进行推断和在计算伤害比例比时考虑聚类后进行推断的结果。

结果

即使是适度的聚类处理不当,也会导致我们的模拟中有 10%到 12%的推断结果出现缺陷。我们观察到,随着聚类程度的增加,我们的估计偏差越大。

结论

我们敦促研究人员仔细考虑观察聚类,并调整分析方法以适应监测技术的不断发展。

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