Centrefor Mental Health, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci. 2019 Oct 1;29:e62. doi: 10.1017/S2045796019000581.
Much of our knowledge about the risk factors for suicide comes from case-control studies that either use a psychological autopsy approach or are nested within large register-based cohort studies. We would argue that case-control studies are appropriate in the context of a rare outcome like suicide, but there are issues with using this design. Some of these issues are common in psychological autopsy studies and relate to the selection of controls (e.g. selection bias caused by the use of controls who have died by other causes, rather than live controls) and the reliance on interviewing informants (e.g. recall bias caused by the loved ones of cases having thought about the events leading up to the suicide in considerable detail). Register-based studies can overcome some of these problems because they draw upon contain information that is routinely collected for administrative purposes and gathered in the same way for cases and controls. However, they face issues that mean that psychological autopsy studies will still sometimes be the study design of choice for investigating risk factors for suicide. Some countries, particularly low and middle income countries, don't have sophisticated population-based registers. Even where they do exist, there will be variable of interest that are not captured by them (e.g. acute stressful life events that may immediately precede a suicide death), or not captured in a comprehensive way (e.g. suicide attempts and mental illness that do not result in hospital admissions). Future studies of risk factors should be designed to progress knowledge in the field and overcome the problems with the existing studies, particularly those using a case-control design. The priority should be pinning down the risk factors that are amenable to modification or mitigation through interventions that can successfully be rolled out at scale.
我们对自杀风险因素的了解大多来自病例对照研究,这些研究要么使用心理尸检方法,要么嵌套在大型基于登记的队列研究中。我们认为,在像自杀这样罕见的结果的情况下,病例对照研究是合适的,但这种设计存在一些问题。其中一些问题在心理尸检研究中很常见,与对照的选择有关(例如,由于使用了因其他原因而死亡的对照而不是存活对照而导致选择偏倚),以及依赖于访谈知情者(例如,由于病例的亲人对导致自杀的事件进行了相当详细的思考,因此存在回忆偏倚)。基于登记的研究可以克服其中的一些问题,因为它们利用了为行政目的而常规收集的信息,并且以相同的方式为病例和对照收集。然而,它们面临着一些问题,这意味着心理尸检研究在调查自杀风险因素时仍将是首选的研究设计。一些国家,特别是低收入和中等收入国家,没有复杂的基于人群的登记册。即使在存在这种登记册的地方,也会有感兴趣的变量没有被登记册捕获(例如,可能立即导致自杀死亡的急性应激性生活事件),或者没有以全面的方式捕获(例如,没有导致住院的自杀未遂和精神疾病)。未来的风险因素研究应旨在推进该领域的知识,并克服现有研究存在的问题,特别是那些使用病例对照设计的研究。当务之急是确定那些可以通过干预措施改变或减轻的风险因素,这些干预措施可以成功地大规模推广。