Temporal trends in incidence of pediatric type 1 diabetes in Alabama: 2000-2017.

OBJECTIVE

The incidence of type 1 diabetes has increased in the United States and worldwide. We hypothesized that trends in the annual incidence rates of childhood-onset type 1 diabetes in the state of Alabama would be different by race and sex.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective observational cohort study, analyzing children with type 1 diabetes (n = 3770) managed at the Children's Hospital of Alabama between 2000 and 2017. We compared crude incidence rates using negative binomial regression models and analyzed differences in annual trends of age-adjusted incidence by race and sex using joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

The crude type 1 diabetes incidence rate was estimated at 16.7 per 100 000 children <19 years of age in Alabama. Between 2000 and 2007, there was an increase in age-adjusted incidence of type 1 diabetes with an annual percent change (APC) of 10% from 2000 to 2007 and a 1.7% APC decrease from 2007 to 2017. The age-adjusted incidence for Whites and Blacks increased with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 4.4% and 2.8%, respectively. A nearly 11% increasing trend in age-adjusted incidence was observed for both races, though the increase plateaued in 2006 for Whites and 2010 for Blacks.

CONCLUSIONS

Following significantly increasing annual trends for both races, the age-adjusted rate remained statistically stable for Whites and decreased significantly for Blacks. Longer-sustained trend increases for Blacks resulted in type 1 diabetes incidence tripling compared to the doubling of the rate for Whites.