Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, Australia.
PLoS Med. 2019 Oct 8;16(10):e1002932. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002932. eCollection 2019 Oct.
Australia has one of the highest skin cancer rates in the world. 'SunSmart' is a multi-component, internationally recognised community-wide skin cancer prevention program implemented in Melbourne, Australia, since summer 1988-1989. Following recent reductions in melanoma rates among younger Australian cohorts, the extent of behaviour change and the potential contribution of prevention programs to this decline in melanoma rates are of interest. Sun protection is a multifaceted behaviour. Measures previously applied to monitor change over time in preventive behaviour for this population focused on individual behaviours. The omission of multiple behaviours that reduce exposure to ultraviolet radiation (UV) may have led to underestimates of behaviour change, meriting further analysis of long-term trends to contribute to this debate.
A population-based survey was conducted in Melbourne in the summer before SunSmart commenced (1987-1988) and across summers in 3 subsequent decades (1988-2017). During summer months, residents (14-69 years) were recruited to cross-sectional weekly telephone interviews assessing their tanning attitudes, sun protection behaviour, and sunburn incidence on the weekend prior to interview. Quotas were used to ensure the sample was proportional to the population by age and sex, while younger respondents were oversampled in some years. The majority of the respondents reported their skin was susceptible to sunburn. Changes in sun protection behaviour were analysed for N = 13,285 respondents in multivariable models, cumulating surveys within decades (1987-1988: N = 1,655; 1990s: N = 5,258; 2000s: N = 3,385; 2010s: N = 2,987) and adjusting for relevant ambient weather conditions and UV levels on weekend dates. We analysed specific and composite behaviours including a novel analysis of the use of maximal sun protection, which considered those people who stayed indoors during peak UV hours together with those people well-protected when outdoors. From a low base, use of sun protection increased rapidly in the decade after SunSmart commenced. The odds of use of at least 1 sun protection behaviours on summer weekends was 3 times higher in the 1990s than pre-SunSmart (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 3.04, 95% CI 2.52-3.68, p < 0.001). There was a smaller increase in use of maximal sun protection including shade (AOR = 1.68, 95% CI 1.44-1.97, p < 0.001). These improvements were sustained into the 2000s and continued to increase in the 2010s. Inferences about program effects are limited by the self-reported data, the absence of a control population, the cross-sectional study design, and the fact that the survey was not conducted in all years. Other potential confounders may include increasing educational attainment among respondents over time and exposure to other campaigns such as tobacco and obesity prevention.
With an estimated 20-year lag between sun exposure and melanoma incidence, our findings are consistent with SunSmart having contributed to the reduction in melanoma among younger cohorts.
澳大利亚是世界上皮肤癌发病率最高的国家之一。“SunSmart”是一个多组分的、国际认可的社区范围的皮肤癌预防计划,自 1988-1989 年夏季以来一直在澳大利亚墨尔本实施。在最近澳大利亚年轻人群中黑色素瘤发病率下降之后,行为改变的程度以及预防计划对这一下降的潜在贡献是值得关注的。防晒是一种多方面的行为。以前用于监测该人群中预防性行为随时间变化的措施主要集中在个人行为上。紫外线(UV)暴露减少的多种行为可能被忽略,从而导致对行为变化的低估,这需要进一步分析长期趋势,以促进这一辩论。
在 SunSmart 开始前的夏季(1987-1988 年)和随后的 3 个十年(1988-2017 年)的夏季,在墨尔本进行了一项基于人群的调查。在夏季月份,招募了 14-69 岁的居民参加每周一次的横断面电话访谈,评估他们在接受访谈前周末的晒黑态度、防晒行为和晒伤情况。使用配额确保样本按年龄和性别与人口成比例,同时在某些年份对年轻受访者进行了超额抽样。大多数受访者报告他们的皮肤容易晒伤。在多变量模型中分析了 13285 名受访者的防晒行为变化,在十年内累计调查(1987-1988 年:N = 1655;1990 年代:N = 5258;2000 年代:N = 3385;2010 年代:N = 2987),并根据周末的相关环境天气条件和 UV 水平进行了调整。我们分析了具体和综合行为,包括对最大防晒使用的新分析,其中包括在 UV 高峰时段待在室内的人和在户外时防护良好的人。从一个低基数开始,防晒的使用在 SunSmart 开始后的十年内迅速增加。与 SunSmart 之前相比,在 90 年代使用至少 1 种防晒行为的可能性是其 3 倍(调整后的优势比 [AOR] 3.04,95%CI 2.52-3.68,p < 0.001)。包括遮荫在内的最大防晒使用的增加幅度较小(AOR = 1.68,95%CI 1.44-1.97,p < 0.001)。这些改进在 2000 年代持续,并在 2010 年代继续增加。由于自我报告的数据、缺乏对照人群、横断面研究设计以及调查并非在所有年份进行,因此对计划效果的推断受到限制。其他潜在的混杂因素可能包括随着时间的推移受访者受教育程度的提高以及接触其他运动,如烟草和肥胖预防。
鉴于阳光暴露和黑色素瘤发病率之间估计有 20 年的滞后,我们的发现与 SunSmart 有助于降低年轻人群中的黑色素瘤发病率是一致的。