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以撒·埃兹凯厄尔经典的群体平方复相关系数估计量:基于蒙特卡罗的扩展和改进。

Ezekiel's classic estimator of the population squared multiple correlation coefficient: Monte Carlo-based extensions and refinements.

机构信息

College of Charleston.

出版信息

J Gen Psychol. 2020 Jul-Sep;147(3):213-227. doi: 10.1080/00221309.2019.1679080. Epub 2019 Oct 25.

Abstract

Ezekiel's adjusted is widely used in linear regression analysis. The present study examined the statistical properties of Ezekiel's measure through a series of Monte Carlo simulations. Specifically, we examined the bias and root mean squared error (RMSE) of Ezekiel's adjusted relative to (a) the sample statistic, and (b) the sample minus the expected value of . Simulation design factors consisted of sample sizes ( = 50, 100, 200, 400), number of predictors (2, 3, 4, 5, 6), and population squared multiple correlations ( = 0, .10, .25, .40, .60). Factorially crossing these design factors resulted in 100 simulation conditions. All populations were normal/Gaussian, and for each condition, we drew 10,000 Monte Carlo samples. Regarding systematic variation (bias), results indicated that with few exceptions, Ezekiel's adjusted demonstrated the lowest bias. Regarding unsystematic variation (RMSE), the performance of Ezekiel's measure was comparable to the other statistics, suggesting that the bias-variance tradeoff is minimal for Ezekiel's adjusted . Additional findings indicated that sample size-to-predictor ratios of 66.67 and greater were associated with low bias and that ratios of this magnitude were accompanied by large sample sizes ( = 200 and 400), thus suggesting that researchers using Ezekiel's adjusted should aim for sample sizes of 200 or greater in order to minimize bias when estimating the population squared multiple correlation coefficient. Overall, these findings indicate that Ezekiel's adjusted has desirable properties and, in addition, these findings bring needed clarity to the statistical literature on Ezekiel's classic estimator.

摘要

以撒的调整广泛应用于线性回归分析。本研究通过一系列蒙特卡罗模拟检验了以撒测量的统计性质。具体来说,我们检验了以撒调整的偏倚和均方根误差(RMSE)相对于(a)样本统计量和(b)样本减去的预期值。模拟设计因素包括样本大小(=50、100、200、400)、预测变量数量(2、3、4、5、6)和总体平方多重相关系数(=0、0.10、0.25、0.40、0.60)。这些设计因素的交叉产生了 100 种模拟条件。所有群体均为正态/高斯群体,对于每种情况,我们抽取了 10,000 个蒙特卡罗样本。关于系统变化(偏差),结果表明,除了少数例外,以撒的调整具有最低的偏差。关于非系统变化(RMSE),以撒测量的性能与其他统计量相当,这表明以撒调整的偏差方差权衡最小。其他发现表明,样本大小与预测变量的比例为 66.67 或更高与低偏差相关,并且这种规模的比例伴随着较大的样本量(=200 和 400),因此建议使用以撒调整的研究人员应将目标设定为样本大小为 200 或更大,以最小化估计总体平方多重相关系数时的偏差。总体而言,这些发现表明以撒的调整具有理想的特性,此外,这些发现为以撒经典估计器的统计文献带来了急需的清晰度。

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