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过去和未来折扣中的符号效应。

The Sign Effect in Past and Future Discounting.

机构信息

Booth School of Business, The University of Chicago.

Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia.

出版信息

Psychol Sci. 2019 Dec;30(12):1674-1695. doi: 10.1177/0956797619876982. Epub 2019 Nov 1.

Abstract

We compared the extent to which people discounted positive and negative events in the future and in the past. We found that the tendency to discount gains more than losses (i.e., the ) emerged more strongly for future than for past outcomes. We present evidence from six studies (total = 1,077) that the effect of tense on discounting is tied to differences in the of these events, which we assessed by measuring participants' emotions while they either anticipated or remembered the event. We ruled out loss aversion, uncertainty, utility curvature, thought frequency, and connection to the future and past self as explanations for this phenomenon, and we discuss why people experience a distinct mixture of emotions when contemplating upcoming events.

摘要

我们比较了人们对未来和过去的正向和负向事件的折扣程度。我们发现,与过去的结果相比,人们对未来结果的收益折扣幅度更大(即)。我们通过六项研究(共 1077 人)提供了证据,表明时态对折扣的影响与这些事件的 程度有关,我们通过测量参与者在预期或回忆事件时的情绪来评估这些事件的 程度。我们排除了损失厌恶、不确定性、效用曲率、思维频率以及与未来和过去自我的联系作为这种现象的解释,并讨论了为什么人们在思考即将到来的事件时会经历一种截然不同的混合情绪。

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