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权衡未来的利弊。

Deliberating trade-offs with the future.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.

The University of Sydney, School of Psychology and Brain and Mind Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia.

出版信息

Nat Hum Behav. 2020 Mar;4(3):238-247. doi: 10.1038/s41562-020-0834-9. Epub 2020 Mar 17.

Abstract

Many fundamental choices in life are intertemporal: they involve trade-offs between sooner and later outcomes. In recent years there has been a surge of interest into how people make intertemporal decisions, given that such decisions are ubiquitous in everyday life and central in domains from substance use to climate change action. While it is clear that people make decisions according to rules, intuitions and habits, they also commonly deliberate over their options, thinking through potential outcomes and reflecting on their own preferences. In this Perspective, we bring to bear recent research into the higher-order capacities that underpin deliberation-particularly those that enable people to think about the future (prospection) and their own thinking (metacognition)-to shed light on intertemporal decision-making. We show how a greater appreciation for these mechanisms of deliberation promises to advance our understanding of intertemporal decision-making and unify a wide range of otherwise disparate choice phenomena.

摘要

许多生活中的基本选择都是跨期的

它们涉及到近期和远期结果之间的权衡。近年来,人们对跨期决策产生了浓厚的兴趣,因为这种决策在日常生活中无处不在,而且在从物质使用到气候变化行动等领域都至关重要。虽然很明显,人们会根据规则、直觉和习惯做出决策,但他们也经常对自己的选择进行深思熟虑,考虑潜在的结果,并反思自己的偏好。在本观点中,我们借鉴了最近关于支撑深思熟虑的高阶能力的研究——特别是那些使人能够思考未来(展望)和自己的思维(元认知)的能力——来阐明跨期决策。我们展示了对这些深思熟虑机制的更深入理解如何有望促进我们对跨期决策的理解,并统一广泛的其他不同选择现象。

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