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Explicit causal reasoning is needed to prevent prognostic models being victims of their own success.

作者信息

Sperrin Matthew, Jenkins David, Martin Glen P, Peek Niels

机构信息

Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.

出版信息

J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2019 Dec 1;26(12):1675-1676. doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocz197.

DOI:10.1093/jamia/ocz197
PMID:31722385
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6857504/
Abstract
摘要

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本文引用的文献

1
Prognostic models will be victims of their own success, unless….预后模型将成为自身成功的受害者，除非……
J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2019 Dec 1;26(12):1645-1650. doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocz145.
2
Dynamic models to predict health outcomes: current status and methodological challenges.预测健康结果的动态模型：现状与方法学挑战
Diagn Progn Res. 2018 Dec 18;2:23. doi: 10.1186/s41512-018-0045-2. eCollection 2018.
3
Using marginal structural models to adjust for treatment drop-in when developing clinical prediction models.使用边缘结构模型在开发临床预测模型时调整治疗脱落。
Stat Med. 2018 Dec 10;37(28):4142-4154. doi: 10.1002/sim.7913. Epub 2018 Aug 2.
4
Prediction models in obstetrics: understanding the treatment paradox and potential solutions to the threat it poses.产科预测模型：理解治疗悖论及其所构成威胁的潜在解决方案。
BJOG. 2016 Jun;123(7):1060-4. doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.13859. Epub 2016 Jan 25.