Fica Alberto, Herrera Tania, Aguilera Ximena
Sub Departamento de Medicina, Hospital Base de Valdivia e Instituto de Medicina, Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile.
Ministerio de Salud, Chile.
Rev Med Chil. 2019 Aug;147(8):1042-1052. doi: 10.4067/S0034-98872019000801042.
Recent data suggest an increase in tuberculosis (TB) incidence in Chile.
To evaluate recent epidemiological trends, geographic extension and potential factors associated with TB reemergence in Chile.
Data analysis from official sources and trend analysis.
TB incidence rate increased from 12.3 (2014) to 14.7 (2017) per 100,000 inhabitants. Morbidity rates also increased in nine out of 15 regions. The proportion of TB cases in specific groups has also increased in the last six years: HIV/AIDS (68%), immigrants (118%), drug users/alcoholics (267%) and homeless people (370%). Several indicators of the national TB program performance have deteriorated including TB case detection, HIV co-infection study and contact tracing activities. Overall results indicate a higher than expected case-fatality ratio (> 3%), high rates of loss from follow-up (> 5%), and low percentage of cohort healing rate (< 90%). This decline is associated with a Control Program with scarce human resources whose central budget decreased by 90% from 2008 to 2014. New molecular diagnostic tools and liquid media culture were only recently implemented.
TB trends and overall program performance indicators have deteriorated in recent years in Chile and several factors appear to be involved. Multiple strategies will be required to rectify this situation.
近期数据显示智利的结核病发病率有所上升。
评估智利近期结核病的流行病学趋势、地理分布范围以及与结核病再度出现相关的潜在因素。
对官方数据进行分析及趋势分析。
结核病发病率从2014年的每10万居民12.3例增至2017年的每10万居民14.7例。15个地区中有9个地区的发病率也有所上升。在过去六年中,特定人群中的结核病病例比例也有所增加:艾滋病毒/艾滋病患者(增长68%)、移民(增长118%)、吸毒者/酗酒者(增长267%)以及无家可归者(增长370%)。国家结核病项目绩效的多项指标有所恶化,包括结核病病例发现、艾滋病毒合并感染研究以及接触者追踪活动。总体结果显示病死率高于预期(>3%)、失访率较高(>5%)且队列治愈率较低(<90%)。这种下降与一个人力资源匮乏的控制项目有关,该项目的中央预算在2008年至2014年期间减少了90%。新的分子诊断工具和液体培养基培养直到最近才得以应用。
近年来智利的结核病趋势及总体项目绩效指标有所恶化,似乎涉及多个因素。需要采取多种策略来纠正这种情况。