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气候变化与可持续发展:以亚马孙地区为例及其政策含义。

Climate change and sustainable development: the case of Amazonia and policy implications.

机构信息

CEFAGE (Center for Advanced Studies in Management and Economics), Department of Business and Economics, University of Beira Interior, Covilhã, Portugal.

CEBeR (Centre for Business and Economics Research), Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Mar;27(8):7745-7756. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-07725-4. Epub 2020 Jan 24.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-020-07725-4
PMID:31981032
Abstract

The relationship between sustainable development and climate change has been extensively addressed, but with few studies focusing on the Amazonian Rainforest. Due to its dimension and importance, preserving it is critical in order to mitigate the problem of climate change associated with rising temperatures, lower precipitation, and the increase of extreme weather events. This paper studies the effects of climate change on the sustainable development of Amazonia. A scientometric analysis was carried out which reveals the evolution of the research field in terms of the growing number of works that have been published in top journals and the main drivers of climate change in Amazonia, such as deforestation, global warming, and land use. Our results indicate that the environmental dimension of sustainable development has been the issue most studied. Our analysis leads us to recommend that policymakers implement incentives for better forest management, design policies with realistic expectations, and rely more on technical reports and approaches to implement policies. Better integration of policies at local, regional, national, and international levels is necessary in order to adapt to and mitigate climate change. Several measures to intensify the scientific approaches joining economic and social dimensions are also proposed. This work contributes to the systematization of the literature on sustainable development and climate change in Amazonia, which has not yet been done, and provides policy recommendations to researchers and professionals for a better understanding of climate change and sustainable development in the Amazonia region of Brazil.

摘要

可持续发展与气候变化之间的关系已经得到了广泛的关注,但很少有研究关注亚马逊雨林。由于其规模和重要性,保护亚马逊雨林对于缓解与气温上升、降水减少和极端天气事件增加相关的气候变化问题至关重要。本文研究了气候变化对亚马逊可持续发展的影响。进行了科学计量分析,揭示了研究领域的演变,包括在顶级期刊上发表的作品数量的增加,以及亚马逊地区气候变化的主要驱动因素,如森林砍伐、全球变暖以及土地利用。结果表明,可持续发展的环境维度是研究最多的问题。我们的分析建议政策制定者实施激励措施以加强森林管理,制定具有现实期望的政策,并更多地依赖技术报告和方法来实施政策。有必要在地方、区域、国家和国际各级更好地整合政策,以适应和缓解气候变化。还提出了一些加强将经济和社会层面结合起来的科学方法的措施。这项工作有助于对亚马逊地区可持续发展和气候变化文献进行系统整理,这在以前尚未完成,并为研究人员和专业人士提供了政策建议,以更好地了解巴西亚马逊地区的气候变化和可持续发展。

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本文引用的文献

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Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change.亚马逊森林对气候变化的组成响应。
Glob Chang Biol. 2019 Jan;25(1):39-56. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14413. Epub 2018 Nov 8.
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How do climate-related uncertainties influence 2 and 1.5 °C pathways?与气候相关的不确定性如何影响升温2摄氏度和1.5摄氏度的路径?
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