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美国各地的页岩气生产和地方经济增长。

The shale gas production and economic growth in local economies across the US.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Erciyes University, Melikgazi, 38039, Kayseri, Turkey.

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics, Kirsehir Ahi Evran University, 40100, Kirsehir, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Apr;27(11):12001-12016. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-07776-7. Epub 2020 Jan 25.

Abstract

Recently, several seminal works have been drawing attention to the revolution of shale gas production technology of the USA, the impact of shale gas on energy sectors, as well as the influences of shale gas on macroeconomic variables of employment, economic growth, etc. Nevertheless, one may claim that two gaps appear in literature. The first gap is the absence of an econometric study estimating the effect of shale oil/gas on national economies. The more considerable second gap is the absence of econometric analyses revealing the impulses of shale gas on local economies. Therefore, this paper observes the possible causalities between the shale gas and local gross domestic product (GDP) employing quarterly data covering the period 2007-2016 for 12 states in the US. After performing the tests of cross-sectional dependence, heterogeneity, stationarity, and cointegration, the paper conducts the panel Granger causality analyses. The empirical findings depict that (i) there is available unidirectional relationship from local shale gas production to local GDP in Colorado, Ohio, and West Virginia; (ii) there occurs an impulse from GDP to local shale gas production for Louisiana, North Dakota, and Oklahoma; (iii) a bidirectional causality coexists between local shale gas production and GDP in Arkansas, California, and Texas; and (iv) there exists no association between local GDP and local shale gas extraction in Montana, New Mexico, and Wyoming.

摘要

最近,有几项重要的研究引起了人们对美国页岩气生产技术革命、页岩气对能源部门的影响,以及页岩气对就业、经济增长等宏观经济变量的影响的关注。然而,人们可能会声称文献中有两个空白。第一个空白是缺乏估算页岩油/气对国民经济影响的计量经济学研究。更重要的第二个空白是缺乏揭示页岩气对地方经济影响的计量经济学分析。因此,本文利用美国 12 个州 2007-2016 年的季度数据,观察了页岩气与地方国内生产总值(GDP)之间可能存在的因果关系。在进行了横截面相关性、异质性、平稳性和协整检验后,本文进行了面板格兰杰因果关系分析。实证结果表明:(i)在科罗拉多州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州,从地方页岩气生产到地方 GDP 存在单向关系;(ii)在路易斯安那州、北达科他州和俄克拉荷马州,GDP 对地方页岩气生产存在冲击;(iii)在阿肯色州、加利福尼亚州和得克萨斯州,地方页岩气生产和 GDP 之间存在双向因果关系;(iv)在蒙大拿州、新墨西哥州和怀俄明州,地方 GDP 与地方页岩气开采之间没有关联。

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