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金融发展对二氧化碳排放的影响:发展中国家(D)和发达国家(G)的比较分析。

Impact of financial development on CO emissions: A comparative analysis of developing countries (D) and developed countries (G).

机构信息

Centre for Economic Research, Shandong University, Jinan, China.

Department of Economics, Government College University, Faisalabad, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Apr;27(11):12461-12475. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-06680-z. Epub 2020 Jan 29.

Abstract

Financial development is one of the key drivers of rapid economic growth as well as CO emission in the environment. This study aims to investigate the casual links between financial development and CO emission in G8 and D8 countries for the time period from 1999 to 2013. We used PCA to develop financial development index from its five sub-components. Second-generation panel unit root tests are applied to check the stationary level and to tackle the presence of cross-sectional dependence in panels. The empirical results of PMG-panel ARDL technique show that financial development has significant and positive impact on carbon emission at a 1% statistical level in both panels in the long-run. The impact of financial development and energy consumption is more evident in D and G countries respectively. The energy use and trade openness affect positively while GDP significantly causes to decline the carbon emissions at 1% statistical level. The results of D-H causality test show that majority of the variables have one-way causality towards COemission in both panels except the financial development and energy use having two-way causality in G8 panel only. The empirical findings of the present study suggest that through improved financial system, more funds should be invested in clean energy projects to adopt the renewable energy, strict monetary policies should be implemented to reduce the consumption of big ticket items, and adoption of measure to reduce trade embodied emission is suggested.

摘要

金融发展是快速经济增长和环境中二氧化碳排放的关键驱动因素之一。本研究旨在调查 1999 年至 2013 年间,G8 和 D8 国家金融发展与二氧化碳排放之间的因果关系。我们使用主成分分析从五个子成分中开发金融发展指数。第二代面板单位根检验用于检查面板的平稳性并解决横截面依赖性的存在。PMG 面板 ARDL 技术的实证结果表明,在长期内,两个面板中金融发展对碳排放量具有显著的正影响,在 1%的统计水平上。金融发展和能源消耗的影响在 D 和 G 国家分别更为明显。能源使用和贸易开放度呈正相关,而 GDP 则在 1%的统计水平上显著导致碳排放量下降。D-H 因果关系检验的结果表明,除了 G8 面板中金融发展和能源使用具有双向因果关系外,大多数变量在两个面板中对 CO 排放都有单向因果关系。本研究的实证结果表明,通过完善金融体系,应将更多资金投资于清洁能源项目,以采用可再生能源,应实施严格的货币政策以减少对大件物品的消费,并应采取措施减少贸易隐含排放。

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