Department of General and Digestive Surgery, Hospital Universitario Doctor Peset, Valencia, Spain.
Department of Digestive, Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery, and Liver Transplantation, Henri-Mondor University Hospital, Créteil, France.
Sci Rep. 2020 Jan 31;10(1):1631. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-58453-1.
Age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (a-CCI) score has been used to weight comorbid conditions in predicting adverse outcomes. A retrospective cohort study on adult patients diagnosed with complicated intra-abdominal infections (cIAI) requiring emergency surgery was conducted in order to elucidate the role of age and comorbidity in this scenario. Two main outcomes were evaluated: 90-day severe postoperative complications (grade ≥ 3 of Dindo-Clavien Classification), and 90-day all-cause mortality. 358 patients were analyzed. a-CCI score for each patient was calculated and then divided in two comorbid categories whether they were ≤ or > to percentile 75 ( = 4): Grade-A (0-4) and Grade-B ( ≥ 5). Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed, and the predictive validity of the models was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve. Independent predictors of 90-day severe postoperative complications were Charlson Grade-B (Odds Ratio [OR] = 3.49, 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 1.86-6.52; p < 0.0001), healthcare-related infections (OR = 7.84, 95%CI: 3.99-15.39; p < 0.0001), diffuse peritonitis (OR = 2.64, 95%CI: 1.45-4.80; p < 0.01), and delay of surgery > 24 hours (OR = 2.28, 95%CI: 1.18-4.68; p < 0.02). The AUROC was 0.815 (95%CI: 0.758-0.872). Independent predictors of 90-day mortality were Charlson Grade-B (OR = 8.30, 95%CI: 3.58-19.21; p < 0.0001), healthcare-related infections (OR = 6.38, 95%CI: 2.72-14.95; p < 0.0001), sepsis status (OR = 3.98, 95%CI: 1.04-15.21; p < 0.04) and diffuse peritonitis (OR = 3.06, 95%CI: 1.29-7.27; p < 0.01). The AUROC for mortality was 0.887 (95%CI: 0.83-0.93). Post-hoc sensitivity analyses confirmed that the degree of comorbidity, estimated by using an age-adjusted score, has a critical impact on the postoperative course following emergency surgery for cIAI. Early assessment and management of patient's comorbidity is mandatory at emergency setting.
年龄调整 Charlson 合并症指数 (a-CCI) 评分已被用于为预测不良结局加权合并症。对需要急诊手术的成人复杂性腹腔内感染 (cIAI) 患者进行了回顾性队列研究,以阐明年龄和合并症在此情况下的作用。评估了两个主要结局:90 天严重术后并发症(Dindo-Clavien 分类等级≥3)和 90 天全因死亡率。分析了 358 名患者。计算了每位患者的 a-CCI 评分,然后将其分为两个合并症类别:是否≤或>第 75 百分位数(=4):A级(0-4)和 B 级(≥5)。进行了单变量和多变量回归分析,并通过接受者操作特征 (ROC) 曲线下的面积 (AUROC) 评估模型的预测有效性。90 天严重术后并发症的独立预测因素为 Charlson B 级(优势比 [OR] = 3.49,95%置信区间 [95%CI]:1.86-6.52;p < 0.0001)、与医疗保健相关的感染(OR = 7.84,95%CI:3.99-15.39;p < 0.0001)、弥漫性腹膜炎(OR = 2.64,95%CI:1.45-4.80;p < 0.01)和手术延迟> 24 小时(OR = 2.28,95%CI:1.18-4.68;p < 0.02)。AUROC 为 0.815(95%CI:0.758-0.872)。90 天死亡率的独立预测因素为 Charlson B 级(OR = 8.30,95%CI:3.58-19.21;p < 0.0001)、与医疗保健相关的感染(OR = 6.38,95%CI:2.72-14.95;p < 0.0001)、败血症状态(OR = 3.98,95%CI:1.04-15.21;p < 0.04)和弥漫性腹膜炎(OR = 3.06,95%CI:1.29-7.27;p < 0.01)。死亡率的 AUROC 为 0.887(95%CI:0.83-0.93)。事后敏感性分析证实,使用年龄调整评分估计的合并症程度对 cIAI 患者急诊手术后的术后过程有重大影响。在急诊环境下,必须对患者的合并症进行早期评估和管理。