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利用系统动力学评估水泥行业在流数据环境下的环境管理。

Using system dynamics to assess the environmental management of cement industry in streaming data context.

机构信息

International Logistics Management Department, Yasar Universitesi, Universite Caddesi No:37-39, Bornova, Izmir, Turkey.

Plymouth Business School, Plymouth, University of Plymouth, Drake Circus Plymouth Devon, PL4 8AA, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2020 May 1;715:136948. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136948. Epub 2020 Jan 25.

DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136948
PMID:32014775
Abstract

The cement industry can be regarded as one of the major sources of anthropogenic air pollution. It uses a significant amount of energy while creating substantial amount of potentially health-threatening carbon monoxide (CO), sulfur dioxide (SO), nitrogen oxides (NO) and dust particles. Hence, the cement industry can be regarded as a primary area for study in the development of green manufacturing. In this study, an urban cement factory is analyzed. The major contribution of the article is the development of a holistic approach to identify the variables impacting cement production and environmental factors creating air pollution in the area, a system dynamics model has been developed incorporating streaming data. To understand the effect of a cement factory on an urban area, some strategic level decisions are also analyzed with the study in order to reveal their impact on environment. The impact of cement production on air pollution cannot be evaluated separately from other air quality factors; therefore, the contribution of each factor has to be identified in order to understand the specific issues affecting a region. With the use of the model, future implications of various air quality factors on environmental sustainability can be assessed. According to the results, PM value, which is currently above the World Health Organization (WHO) air pollution critical level of 50 μg/m for 30% of the days in a year, will climb to more than 50% in 2023. Moreover, governments can also recognize the severe impacts of location selection for cement industries, unplanned and excessive building licensing, and uncontrolled immigration on environment of an urban living. Therefore, output of the study is potentially beneficial in guiding governmental decisions to ensure the sustainability of air quality.

摘要

水泥工业可被视为人为空气污染的主要来源之一。它在消耗大量能源的同时,还会产生大量潜在威胁健康的一氧化碳(CO)、二氧化硫(SO)、氮氧化物(NO)和粉尘颗粒。因此,水泥工业可以被视为绿色制造发展的主要研究领域。在本研究中,分析了一家城市水泥厂。本文的主要贡献在于开发了一种整体方法来识别影响水泥生产和该地区空气污染的环境因素的变量,该方法结合了流媒体数据开发了一个系统动力学模型。为了了解水泥厂对城市地区的影响,还分析了一些战略层面的决策,以揭示它们对环境的影响。水泥生产对空气污染的影响不能与其他空气质量因素分开评估;因此,必须确定每个因素的贡献,以了解影响一个地区的具体问题。通过使用该模型,可以评估各种空气质量因素对环境可持续性的未来影响。根据结果,目前每年有 30%的天数 PM 值超过世界卫生组织(WHO)空气污染临界值 50μg/m,到 2023 年将攀升至 50%以上。此外,政府还可以认识到水泥工业选址、计划外和过度的建筑许可证以及不受控制的移民对城市居住环境的严重影响。因此,该研究的成果有可能有助于指导政府决策,确保空气质量的可持续性。

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