Boness Cassandra L, Loeffelman Jordan E, Steinley Douglas, Trull Timothy, Sher Kenneth J
University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA.
Assessment. 2020 Sep;27(6):1075-1088. doi: 10.1177/1073191120903092. Epub 2020 Feb 10.
The use of fixed diagnostic rules, whereby the same diagnostic algorithms are applied across all individuals regardless of personal attributes, has been the tradition in the . This practice of "averaging" across individuals inevitably introduces diagnostic error. Furthermore, these average rules are typically derived through expert consensus rather than through data-driven approaches. Utilizing National Survey on Drug Use and Health 2013 ( = 23, 889), we examined whether subgroup-specific, "customized" alcohol use disorder diagnostic rules, derived using deterministic optimization, perform better than an average, "one-size-fits-all" diagnostic rule. The average solution for the full sample included a set size of six and diagnostic threshold of three. Subgroups had widely varying set sizes ( = 6.870; range = 5-10) with less varying thresholds ( = 2.70; range = 2-4). External validation verified that the customized algorithms performed as well, and sometimes better than, the average solution in the prediction of relevant correlates. However, the average solution still performed adequately with respect to external validators.
使用固定的诊断规则,即无论个人属性如何,对所有个体都应用相同的诊断算法,一直是[具体领域]的传统做法。这种对个体进行“平均化”的做法不可避免地会引入诊断误差。此外,这些平均规则通常是通过专家共识而非数据驱动的方法得出的。利用2013年全国药物使用和健康调查(样本量 = 23,889),我们研究了使用确定性优化得出的特定亚组“定制”酒精使用障碍诊断规则是否比通用的“一刀切”诊断规则表现更好。全样本的平均解决方案包括固定数量为六个以及诊断阈值为三个。亚组的固定数量差异很大(均值 = 6.870;范围 = 5 - 10),阈值差异较小(均值 = 2.70;范围 = 2 - 4)。外部验证证实,在预测相关关联因素时,定制算法的表现与平均解决方案相当,有时甚至更好。然而,平均解决方案在外部验证指标方面仍表现良好。