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产业间价格联系——日本通缩分析。

Interindustry linkages of prices-Analysis of Japan's deflation.

机构信息

Faculty of Science, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan.

Department of Mathematics, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Feb 13;15(2):e0228026. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0228026. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

The interactions among macroprices with leads and lags play a significant role in explaining the behavior of an aggregate price index. Thus, to understand inflation and deflation, it is essential to explore the mechanism according to which these macroprices interact with each other. On the basis of a new method, we show that, irrespective of the sources of shocks, a robust flow of changes occurs in domestic prices from upstream to downstream. Moreover, we demonstrate that macroprices change in clusters, and we identify these clusters. Firms are not symmetric. Overall, our analysis suggests that the inertia arising from input/output linkages in production explains the behavior of aggregate prices.

摘要

宏观价格之间的相互作用具有领先和滞后关系,对于解释总价格指数的行为具有重要意义。因此,要了解通货膨胀和通货紧缩,就必须探索这些宏观价格相互作用的机制。基于一种新方法,我们表明,无论冲击的来源如何,国内价格都会从上游到下游发生稳健的变化。此外,我们还证明了宏观价格会发生集群变化,并识别了这些集群。企业并不是对称的。总体而言,我们的分析表明,生产中投入/产出联系的惯性解释了总价格的行为。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fdc5/7018021/42b9cdae6d8a/pone.0228026.g001.jpg

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