Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit Nuffield Department of Population Health University of Oxford United Kingdom.
Department of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery The Townsville Hospital Queensland Australia.
J Am Heart Assoc. 2020 Feb 18;9(4):e014748. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.119.014748. Epub 2020 Feb 17.
Background Large studies are required for reliable estimates of important risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). This could guide targeted AAA screening programs, particularly in subgroups like women who are currently excluded from such programs. Method and Results In a cross-sectional study, 1.5 million women and 0.8 million men without known vascular disease attended commercial screening clinics in the United Kingdom or United States from 2008 to 2013. Measurements of vascular risk factors were related to AAA using logistic regression with correction for regression dilution bias. Screening detected 12 729 new AAA cases (0.6%). Compared with never smoking, current smoking was associated with 15 times the risk of AAA among women (risk ratio 15.0, 95% CI 13.2-17.0) and 7 times among men (7.3, 6.4-8.2). In women aged <75 years, the risk of AAA was nearly 30 times greater in current smokers (26.4, 20.3-34.2). In every age group, the prevalence of AAA in female smokers was greater than in male never-smokers. Positive log-linear associations with AAA for women and men were also observed for usual body mass index, usual systolic blood pressure, height, usual low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and usual triglycerides. Conclusions Log-linear increases in the risks of AAA with traditional vascular risk factors should be considered when evaluating populations that may be at-risk for the development of AAA, and when considering potential treatments. However, at any given age, female smokers are at higher risk of AAA than male never-smokers, and a policy of screening male never-smokers but not higher-risk female smokers is questionable.
需要进行大规模研究,以可靠估计腹主动脉瘤(AAA)的重要危险因素。这可以指导有针对性的 AAA 筛查计划,特别是在女性等目前被排除在这些计划之外的亚组中。
在一项横断面研究中,2008 年至 2013 年期间,英国和美国的商业筛查诊所共有 150 万女性和 80 万无已知血管疾病的男性参加。使用逻辑回归分析血管危险因素与 AAA 的关系,并进行回归稀释偏差校正。筛查发现了 12729 例新的 AAA 病例(0.6%)。与从不吸烟相比,当前吸烟与女性 AAA 风险增加 15 倍相关(风险比 15.0,95%CI 13.2-17.0),男性为 7 倍(7.3,6.4-8.2)。在<75 岁的女性中,当前吸烟者的 AAA 风险几乎增加了 30 倍(26.4,20.3-34.2)。在每个年龄组中,女性吸烟者的 AAA 患病率均高于男性从不吸烟者。在女性和男性中,AAA 与传统血管危险因素之间也存在对数线性正相关。
在评估可能发生 AAA 的人群和考虑潜在治疗方法时,应考虑到与传统血管危险因素相关的 AAA 风险呈对数线性增加。然而,在任何给定的年龄,女性吸烟者患 AAA 的风险都高于男性从不吸烟者,因此筛查男性从不吸烟者而不筛查高风险女性吸烟者的政策是值得质疑的。