Department of Human Biology, Faculty of Natural Sciences, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel.
Department of Human Biology, Faculty of Natural Sciences, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel,
Gerontology. 2020;66(4):309-314. doi: 10.1159/000505995. Epub 2020 Feb 26.
Over the past century, the life expectancy in industrialized countries has rapidly risen by over 30 years due to improvements in standards of medical care, sanitation, and lifestyle. Estimation of life expectancy has traditionally been viewed through a lens of epidemiology and public health. However, this data, while considered the "gold standard" of measuring healthy life expectancy, may soon find itself redundant in the face of advancing medical technology. Even as average life expectancy has increased, there has not been an equivalent increase in healthy life expectancy, or "healthspan"; furthermore, there is a current trend of stagnation in life expectancy, as the supposed increases are estimated to be drastically slowing down, in part due to exhaustion of our current ability to extend the human lifespan. In this viewpoint, we will examine the developing fields of medicine and life sciences which will reshape our current approach to life expectancy prediction.
在过去的一个世纪里,由于医疗水平、卫生条件和生活方式的改善,工业化国家的预期寿命迅速延长了 30 多年。预期寿命的估计传统上是通过流行病学和公共卫生的视角来看待的。然而,尽管这些数据被认为是衡量健康预期寿命的“金标准”,但随着医疗技术的进步,这些数据可能很快就会变得多余。即使平均预期寿命有所增加,健康预期寿命(即“健康寿命”)也没有相应增加;此外,预期寿命目前还有停滞的趋势,因为预计增长速度会大幅放缓,部分原因是我们目前延长人类寿命的能力已经耗尽。在这个观点中,我们将研究重塑我们目前预期寿命预测方法的医学和生命科学的发展领域。